Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs KW (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce6e8f1636a86863c77af3987150247d6026be4d6f94d600f84a6e056f58a40c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PuckChampof PuckChamp, KW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a4…6c3ebacked PuckChamp | 64c | 3,501$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.08 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed KW | 35c | 3,000$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.89 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…6c9dbacked KW | 37c | 2,142$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.2 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed KW | 39c | 1,819$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed PuckChamp | 71c | 1,557$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.09 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PuckChamp | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed PuckChamp | 63c | 1,470$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.2 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed KW | 36c | 1,021$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.39 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked PuckChamp | 67c | 856.98$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.53 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked KW | 35c | 839$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.44 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PuckChamp | 79c | 658.08$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.08 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked KW | 37c | 588$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.43 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked KW | 2c | 583.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked PuckChamp | 64c | 574.2$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.49 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…01c5backed KW | 38c | 508$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed KW | 38c | 500.1$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792c…d2ecbacked KW | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked PuckChamp | 64c | 434.48$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed PuckChamp | 60c | 398.97$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.59 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked KW | 38c | 394.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed KW | 19c | 358.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PuckChamp | 77c | 348.42$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KW | 25c | 330.81$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…cc48backed PuckChamp | 64c | 321.77$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KW | 22c | 313.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked PuckChamp | 64c | 311.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.14 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked KW | 36c | 304$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…bf30backed PuckChamp | 67c | 299.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked PuckChamp | 64c | 296.01$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked PuckChamp | 64c | 250$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked KW | 23c | 249.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked PuckChamp | 60c | 245$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked PuckChamp | 68c | 202.72$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked KW | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed KW | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed PuckChamp | 63c | 187.47$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed PuckChamp | 61c | 164.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed PuckChamp | 63c | 155.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…6c1dbacked PuckChamp | 68c | 151.43$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PuckChamp | 61c | 150$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed PuckChamp | 61c | 149.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed PuckChamp | 60c | 139$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…b851backed KW | 9c | 133.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed KW | 13c | 132.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked PuckChamp | 64c | 124$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054e…51bdbacked KW | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PuckChamp | 71c | 117$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed PuckChamp | 61c | 115.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed PuckChamp | 64c | 115$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed KW | 37c | 113.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf17c…3cf2backed KW | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked PuckChamp | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed PuckChamp | 61c | 82.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked PuckChamp | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked PuckChamp | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked KW | 40c | 75.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked PuckChamp | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 151 | 67.5%102 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed KW | 24c | 62.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed PuckChamp | 61c | 60.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked PuckChamp | 63c | 60.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked PuckChamp | 61c | 57.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…1753backed KW | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed PuckChamp | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed PuckChamp | 64c | 52.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed PuckChamp | 72c | 50.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed KW | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked KW | 30c | 49.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked KW | 30c | 48.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed KW | 29c | 47.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed KW | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…c1c4backed KW | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed KW | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed PuckChamp | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked KW | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…f2c2backed PuckChamp | 66c | 26.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed PuckChamp | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed PuckChamp | 64c | 21.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked PuckChamp | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked PuckChamp | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs KW (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs KW - Game 1 WinnerPuckChamp won
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs KW - Game 2 WinnerPuckChamp won
- Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs KW (+1.5)PuckChamp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.