Tennis · resolved market
Quebec City: SoonWoo Kwon vs Keegan Smith
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d7568622059726fda7a20b4b7072f74de96282e2509bf43e9413517a9bfe3bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SoonWoo Kwonof SoonWoo Kwon, Keegan Smith
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Keegan Smith | 28c | 3,791$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.04 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed SoonWoo Kwon | 53c | 2,136$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.24 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed SoonWoo Kwon | 71c | 1,255$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.57 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SoonWoo Kwon | 72c | 1,034$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.88 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Keegan Smith | 27c | 611.38$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.07 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Keegan Smith | 28c | 452.1$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed SoonWoo Kwon | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Keegan Smith | 31c | 244.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed SoonWoo Kwon | 69c | 206.71$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed SoonWoo Kwon | 74c | 194.46$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Keegan Smith | 18c | 179.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked SoonWoo Kwon | 73c | 177$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed SoonWoo Kwon | 72c | 169.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Keegan Smith | 64c | 164.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.54 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SoonWoo Kwon | 71c | 150$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked SoonWoo Kwon | 53c | 147.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked SoonWoo Kwon | 38c | 144.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked SoonWoo Kwon | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Keegan Smith | 31c | 118.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Keegan Smith | 28c | 112.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Keegan Smith | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Keegan Smith | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked SoonWoo Kwon | 77c | 96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked SoonWoo Kwon | 55c | 90.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…2f66backed Keegan Smith | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 216 | 61.1%132 W · 84 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked SoonWoo Kwon | 68c | 70.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Keegan Smith | 30c | 69.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Keegan Smith | 31c | 68.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed SoonWoo Kwon | 56c | 63.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Keegan Smith | 25c | 57.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Keegan Smith | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed SoonWoo Kwon | 77c | 54.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed SoonWoo Kwon | 68c | 54.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Keegan Smith | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -17.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Keegan Smith | 64c | 43.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Keegan Smith | 42c | 43.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed SoonWoo Kwon | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed SoonWoo Kwon | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked SoonWoo Kwon | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed SoonWoo Kwon | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked SoonWoo Kwon | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Keegan Smith | 32c | 31.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…1c3cbacked SoonWoo Kwon | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed SoonWoo Kwon | 76c | 28.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed SoonWoo Kwon | 68c | 26.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SoonWoo Kwon | 71c | 25.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed SoonWoo Kwon | 78c | 23.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked SoonWoo Kwon | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed SoonWoo Kwon | 75c | 20.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed SoonWoo Kwon | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed SoonWoo Kwon | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…56eabacked SoonWoo Kwon | 68c | 15.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.