Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Liam Draxl
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dd41d230185eef74e9e34407f3440084533464806ffa49904c1df82e23cd1c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liam Draxlof Nicolas Mejia, Liam Draxl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $325,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Nicolas Mejia | 29c | 51,574$14,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,875.71 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…842abacked Nicolas Mejia | 30c | 14,903$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nicolas Mejia | 52c | 14,383$7,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,547.91 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…608ebacked Liam Draxl | 38c | 10,534$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,533.89 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nicolas Mejia | 45c | 8,791$3,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.35 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Liam Draxl | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -8.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nicolas Mejia | 42c | 6,228$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.66 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…a793backed Nicolas Mejia | 50c | 5,619$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.45 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Liam Draxl | 65c | 5,370$3,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.69 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Nicolas Mejia | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 392 | 49.7%195 W · 197 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Nicolas Mejia | 77c | 3,834$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.58 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Liam Draxl | 68c | 3,819$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.62 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Liam Draxl | 61c | 3,791$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.06 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…3facbacked Liam Draxl | 76c | 3,585$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.42 | 87 | 69%60 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f6…4488backed Liam Draxl | 62c | 3,505$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.83 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Liam Draxl | 72c | 2,972$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.53 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Nicolas Mejia | 46c | 2,829$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.91 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Nicolas Mejia | 49c | 2,551$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Nicolas Mejia | 53c | 2,443$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.8 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Nicolas Mejia | 39c | 2,307$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.33 | 1,125 | 42.8%482 W · 643 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9d…cf12backed Nicolas Mejia | 76c | 2,263$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Liam Draxl | 49c | 1,805$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.58 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Liam Draxl | 53c | 1,768$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.01 | 337 | 37.1%125 W · 212 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Liam Draxl | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Nicolas Mejia | 26c | 1,666$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Nicolas Mejia | 32c | 1,375$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nicolas Mejia | 42c | 1,366$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.04 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nicolas Mejia | 38c | 1,360$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.95 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Nicolas Mejia | 44c | 1,297$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.92 | 373 | 45%168 W · 205 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Liam Draxl | 49c | 1,053$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.11 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Liam Draxl | 72c | 1,033$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.39 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Liam Draxl | 49c | 1,028$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.25 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Nicolas Mejia | 47c | 1,027$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.79 | 400 | 46.8%187 W · 213 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Liam Draxl | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 597 | 21.8%130 W · 467 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Liam Draxl | 62c | 969.82$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.82 | 251 | 39.4%99 W · 152 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Liam Draxl | 55c | 943.94$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.94 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…c4b4backed Liam Draxl | 58c | 903.5$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Liam Draxl | 74c | 891.42$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.35 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Nicolas Mejia | 52c | 800$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.15 | 562 | 44.1%248 W · 314 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Liam Draxl | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 331 | 37.2%123 W · 208 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Nicolas Mejia | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 258 | 52.7%136 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…e738backed Nicolas Mejia | 14c | 790$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Nicolas Mejia | 30c | 759.46$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.84 | 263 | 50.6%133 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd772…1d8fbacked Nicolas Mejia | 40c | 725$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Liam Draxl | 72c | 694.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.39 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Nicolas Mejia | 65c | 688.05$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.32 | 223 | 41.3%92 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…3b5fbacked Nicolas Mejia | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Nicolas Mejia | 49c | 647.91$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.48 | 1,047 | 50%524 W · 523 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Nicolas Mejia | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…e45fbacked Nicolas Mejia | 40c | 562.5$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Nicolas Mejia | 27c | 541.19$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 153 | 39.2%60 W · 93 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Liam Draxl | 69c | 539.43$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.22 | 417 | 48.2%201 W · 216 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Liam Draxl | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…5fa9backed Nicolas Mejia | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafef…f50ebacked Liam Draxl | 20c | 496.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.88 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Liam Draxl | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Liam Draxl | 50c | 461.75$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.18 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Liam Draxl | 76c | 455.46$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.31 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Nicolas Mejia | 41c | 454.57$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.57 | 947 | 51.1%484 W · 463 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Liam Draxl | 77c | 449.53$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.39 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827c…ddcabacked Nicolas Mejia | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Nicolas Mejia | 54c | 429.81$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.2 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Nicolas Mejia | 16c | 339.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Liam Draxl | 50c | 328.24$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.24 | 416 | 64.4%268 W · 148 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Liam Draxl | 30c | 327$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.9 | 297 | 52.9%157 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Liam Draxl | 56c | 326.31$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.96 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…e889backed Nicolas Mejia | 46c | 321.28$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.64 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2412backed Nicolas Mejia | 17c | 307.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Liam Draxl | 71c | 305.09$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Liam Draxl | 50c | 300.84$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.43 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Nicolas Mejia | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…ecefbacked Nicolas Mejia | 31c | 299.24$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa448…3046backed Nicolas Mejia | 50c | 272.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.43 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Nicolas Mejia | 19c | 254.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Liam Draxl | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 497 | 40.6%202 W · 295 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…da77backed Nicolas Mejia | 35c | 228.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 171 | 56.7%97 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Nicolas Mejia | 20c | 225.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed Nicolas Mejia | 34c | 223.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 117 | 29.1%34 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Nicolas Mejia | 34c | 209.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Liam Draxl | 50c | 209$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Liam Draxl | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +8.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Liam Draxl | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 538 | 47%253 W · 285 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Nicolas Mejia | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Liam Draxl | 67c | 199.46$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 553 | 57.3%317 W · 236 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…ff8cbacked Liam Draxl | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -72%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Nicolas Mejia | 9c | 193.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Liam Draxl | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Nicolas Mejia | 51c | 191.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 1,102 | 52.2%575 W · 527 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…05b6backed Nicolas Mejia | 25c | 187.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Liam Draxl | 49c | 175.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Nicolas Mejia | 36c | 172.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 782 | 48.3%378 W · 404 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Nicolas Mejia | 28c | 164.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 499 | 43.1%215 W · 284 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Liam Draxl | 45c | 155$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Nicolas Mejia | 35c | 151.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Nicolas Mejia | 18c | 144.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 363 | 39.4%143 W · 220 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nicolas Mejia | 43c | 143$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nicolas Mejia | 30c | 141.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3957…35f0backed Nicolas Mejia | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 72%126 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Liam Draxl | 64c | 138.44$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Liam Draxl | 50c | 128.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Liam Draxlthis page
- Game Spread: Draxl (-1.5) vs Mejia (+1.5)Draxl won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.