MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e8d7fb9dc27075e988b825e47db3c7643588aa83c44700c49c6c5ef697e1136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 55c | 11,851$6,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,537.44 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 47c | 8,959$4,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,207 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 53c | 8,304$4,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.08 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 4,341$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.74 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 4,107$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.4 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 3,631$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 45c | 1,373$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.75 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 1,136$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.83 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 1,068$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.78 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 1,060$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.5 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 45c | 955.04$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.27 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 45c | 955.04$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.27 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 42c | 841.55$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.1 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 54c | 803.94$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.13 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 55c | 755.35$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.44 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 42c | 567.78$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 45c | 509.04$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.97 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 448.18$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 45c | 387.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.17 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 58c | 338.06$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.54 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 280.44$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.14 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 26c | 255$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…e41bbacked Over | 53c | 248.72$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.61 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 46c | 234.96$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.18 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 52c | 229.3$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.24 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 42c | 209.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.54 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 60c | 187.78$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Under | 59c | 167.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 49c | 150.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 149$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 40c | 135.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 64c | 131$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 127.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 50c | 114.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 50c | 114.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 59c | 110.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 39c | 109$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 53c | 103.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Over | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 314 | 49.4%155 W · 159 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 43c | 94.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 44c | 94.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 41c | 86.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Under | 36c | 82.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked Under | 17c | 79.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 330 | 32.7%108 W · 222 L | -22.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 43c | 64.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 60.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 54c | 55.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Over | 58c | 55.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 71c | 51.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Under | 36c | 45.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 56c | 42.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 46c | 39.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 55c | 35.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 46c | 34.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 41c | 34.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 44c | 33.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…6fbfbacked Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…4976backed Over | 46c | 22.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 54c | 22.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 51c | 20.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 57c | 20.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 12.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-8.5)Colorado Rockies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.