Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Syracuse Orange vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 155.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eb8faff9128a0b4ccb58125a49a38a6606d19ae4ec2cb6040af44a461217935
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,355 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 51c | 979.58$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.96 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 53c | 759$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 40c | 738.71$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.01 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Under | 46c | 688.17$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.61 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 51c | 636.93$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.85 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 499.14$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.59 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 53c | 456.25$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 420.64$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.27 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 412.1$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 52c | 378.14$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.89 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 52c | 305$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Over | 47c | 292.43$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.44 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 50c | 242$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 71c | 173.52$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 161.15$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…08f0backed Over | 48c | 154.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Under | 70c | 141.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 137.26$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.57 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 44c | 122.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 116.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Under | 67c | 109.84$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 80c | 103.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 69c | 96.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 93.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 32c | 92.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +10.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 74.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 43c | 70.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 46c | 67.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 49c | 63.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 54c | 50.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 46c | 44.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Over | 38c | 43.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 50c | 41.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 39c | 40.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 31.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 52c | 28.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Under | 67c | 22.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Syracuse Orange vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 155.5this page
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-3.5)SMU Mustangs won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-4.5)SMU Mustangs won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-5.5)SMU Mustangs won
- Syracuse Orange vs. SMU MustangsSMU Mustangs won
- Syracuse Orange vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 154.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.