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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Alabama State Hornets vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alabama State Hornetsof Alabama State Hornets, Alabama A&M Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,514 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Alabama State Hornets65c31,502$20,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,096.655,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs30c12,987$3,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,936.291,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs27c11,531$3,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,156.322,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs50c8,066$4,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,064.772,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs54c7,898$4,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,278.6789645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Alabama State Hornets51c5,617$2,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,731.881,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Alabama State Hornets49c5,226$2,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,668.292,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs31c4,015$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.7421636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs53c3,883$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.183,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b5a…b691backed Alabama State Hornets69c3,200$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.01540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid+62.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs22c2,302$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.043423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Alabama State Hornets48c2,270$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.794,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs58c1,527$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.172,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Alabama State Hornets34c1,465$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.82977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.34per pick44cpaid+78.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Alabama State Hornets46c1,462$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.9429845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Alabama State Hornets47c981.29$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.0884147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Alabama State Hornets47c852.5$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.9826740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Alabama State Hornets55c696.39$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.677142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs53c567.48$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9193247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs52c532.25$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.321,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Alabama State Hornets47c519.43$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Alabama State Hornets51c497.18$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.164,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs52c480.31$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.825050%25 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Alabama State Hornets45c440.15$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.0878052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Alabama State Hornets46c255.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.242326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Alabama State Hornets46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Alabama State Hornets46c238.13$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5916546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Alabama State Hornets44c228.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6912147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs44c225.31$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1412642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs31c222.32$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.921,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Alabama State Hornets45c220.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.161,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs53c203$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5950745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs51c194.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.132860.7%17 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c9…4145backed Alabama State Hornets43c193.01$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.743551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Alabama State Hornets47c158.18$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8411257.1%64 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs36c157.06$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5419237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f91…1e15backed Alabama State Hornets76c150.35$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.082560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Alabama State Hornets37c150$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.51,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs57c140.79$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.473,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked Alabama State Hornets42c119.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.44221.4%9 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Alabama State Hornets44c112.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.095740.4%23 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Alabama State Hornets44c112.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0983350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Alabama State Hornets45c101.56$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8624951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Alabama State Hornets45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Alabama State Hornets65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3555532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Alabama State Hornets46c99.56$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2785248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs54c99.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3911051.8%57 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Alabama State Hornets47c91.37$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7462140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Alabama State Hornets44c90.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1518439.1%72 W · 112 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Alabama State Hornets47c84.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7132246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs54c83.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.821,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs46c80.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3327055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs47c79.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9271655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Alabama State Hornets46c76.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.48359%49 W · 34 L+11.5wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8a38…81abbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs31c74.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.214959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Alabama State Hornets42c74.07$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9613560%81 W · 54 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Alabama State Hornets45c73.85$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6215551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Alabama State Hornets71c69.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.157959.5%47 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4720…007bbacked Alabama State Hornets63c59.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.02875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs60c59.48$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8310259.8%61 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs53c58.68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0257655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked Alabama State Hornets46c55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.72548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs55c53.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6344549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs55c48.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8449157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61d1…a379backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs48c47.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.85457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Alabama State Hornets44c47.32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.513956.8%79 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs55c45.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8958652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Alabama State Hornets67c44.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9319348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs45c44.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8315246.7%71 W · 81 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Alabama State Hornets30c42.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.555056%28 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs59c40.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9923754.4%129 W · 108 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.239050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs54c36.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.832055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf602…c172backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs54c36.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.836159%36 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ec…8debbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs54c33.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.25657.1%32 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked Alabama State Hornets37c33.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0891…32aebacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs60c33.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs59c30.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.171,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs36c30.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7670936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e6c…1c75backed Alabama State Hornets69c28.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.92580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2dd6backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs53c26.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.883455.9%19 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x955d…1ec5backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs57c26.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.871546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs59c26.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3121059.5%125 W · 85 L+17.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Alabama State Hornets64c22.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89871.4%70 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd280…54f4backed Alabama State Hornets46c21.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.78520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefd0…4200backed Alabama State Hornets59c19.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.