Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f5474d09c635dd8dcdd2d0547c43e59c79957fac74004015404c7cc4f301442
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x912a…2e6abacked Yes | 60c | 43,446$26,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,397.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked No | 14c | 13,793$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 7,308$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.72 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked No | 0c | 6,731$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed No | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 75c | 2,788$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.87 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 40c | 2,353$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 2,235$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.98 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 40c | 2,006$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.27 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 40c | 1,834$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.26 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 40c | 1,600$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.27 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 27c | 1,350$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.76 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 1,169$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.31 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 38c | 1,052$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 40c | 692.46$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.98 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 40c | 549.65$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.86 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…fae0backed No | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked No | 39c | 390$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 370$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 16c | 346.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Yes | 58c | 313.79$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 40c | 312$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 76c | 299.64$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 40c | 260$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c23…ed23backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 39c | 156$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 40c | 156$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 40c | 144.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 63c | 126.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 40c | 126$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 24c | 121.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 11c | 118$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 62c | 116$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 23c | 113.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked No | 39c | 107.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 33c | 95.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 77c | 90.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…be6abacked Yes | 79c | 83.82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…d10cbacked No | 40c | 74.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 21c | 71.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 20c | 67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked No | 35c | 59.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 40c | 56.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 63c | 55.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Yes | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…fe99backed Yes | 63c | 50.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 60c | 50.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 23c | 44.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 42c | 35.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked No | 38c | 27.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Yes | 60c | 25.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-23?this page
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-05-23?No won
- Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.