Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f6dda60a4a6899ed3e8a7ea1b3a4237bcbbb59ea024a1c49388e57c28c19c20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,357$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.3 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…b4f6backed Yes | 31c | 1,154$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.71 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 65c | 393.7$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.64 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 64c | 382.92$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.69 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa760…2c51backed Yes | 47c | 381.9$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.92 | 212 | 64.6%137 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 43c | 309.9$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.59 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 303.89$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.64 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 62c | 229.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.72 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 69c | 214$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.66 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 48c | 199.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 27c | 183.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 41c | 181.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 168.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 68c | 153$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Yes | 56c | 142.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Yes | 56c | 141.45$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…5c86backed Yes | 36c | 138.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 318 | 36.8%117 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…5296backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 35c | 125$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 34c | 112.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…9b6cbacked Yes | 39c | 100.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 155 | 29%45 W · 110 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 170 | 25.3%43 W · 127 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 28c | 98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 32c | 97.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e45…fb2cbacked No | 22c | 93.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 36c | 89.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 73c | 85.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…9ab0backed Yes | 59c | 81.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 44c | 81.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df3…c0d0backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 39c | 75.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 57c | 68.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 35c | 68.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 41c | 63.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 64c | 60.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22c…8aadbacked No | 65c | 58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed No | 36c | 54.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 35c | 54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…2a65backed No | 69c | 54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -15.2wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 29-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 54c | 53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 55c | 53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 239 | 58.2%139 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 45c | 52.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 37c | 51.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 38c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e5…6412backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 169 | 36.1%61 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…6e40backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…5585backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…24f9backed Yes | 79c | 48.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 65c | 47.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 35c | 47.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d3…a178backed No | 39c | 46.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 25c | 43.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked Yes | 48c | 41.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked No | 43c | 40.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 38c | 39.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 336 | 54.2%182 W · 154 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 66c | 38.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…3cc3backed No | 33c | 37.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 57c | 36.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 56c | 35.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 35c | 33.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…dacdbacked Yes | 36c | 33.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 299 | 48.2%144 W · 155 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 35c | 32.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…7a0cbacked Yes | 52c | 31.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 189 | 45.5%86 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 36c | 30.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93a6…b1c2backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa957…7638backed Yes | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25e…2dd7backed Yes | 40c | 25.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…1949backed No | 64c | 24.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 173 | 61.8%107 W · 66 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…7477backed No | 59c | 21.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -34.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 77c | 20.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…e66dbacked No | 58c | 19.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -6.8wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x95ab…45bebacked Yes | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9400…1f3dbacked No | 63c | 15.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 65c | 15.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.