Tennis · resolved market
ITF Huamantla: Matthew Thomson vs Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fec4e907888e4b97913391b901dd9529e1795ea5004fd44e9ddb3eeaa627720
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthew Thomsonof Matthew Thomson, Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | 41c | 29,666$12,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,245.91 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matthew Thomson | 55c | 22,311$12,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,132.23 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Matthew Thomson | 59c | 1,634$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.29 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Matthew Thomson | 77c | 979.62$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.31 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Matthew Thomson | 77c | 397$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Matthew Thomson | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Matthew Thomson | 39c | 228.79$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.26 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Matthew Thomson | 77c | 215$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Matthew Thomson | 77c | 211$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Matthew Thomson | 77c | 210$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Matthew Thomson | 77c | 207$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Matthew Thomson | 77c | 204$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Matthew Thomson | 77c | 203$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Matthew Thomson | 77c | 202$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Matthew Thomson | 77c | 201$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Matthew Thomson | 77c | 201$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Matthew Thomson | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Matthew Thomson | 77c | 199.2$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Matthew Thomson | 77c | 199$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Matthew Thomson | 77c | 197$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Matthew Thomson | 77c | 196$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Matthew Thomson | 77c | 189$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Matthew Thomson | 77c | 188$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Matthew Thomson | 77c | 188$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Matthew Thomson | 77c | 187$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Matthew Thomson | 77c | 185$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Matthew Thomson | 77c | 185$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matthew Thomson | 78c | 127.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Matthew Thomson | 76c | 115$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…1b0abacked Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | 78c | 94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | 67c | 84.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | 52c | 81.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Matthew Thomson | 78c | 66.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Matthew Thomson | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | 61c | 41.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Matthew Thomson | 61c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe573…ae05backed Matthew Thomson | 77c | 20.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…c7a2backed Matthew Thomson | 77c | 18.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Matthew Thomson | 77c | 16.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Matthew Thomson | 77c | 13.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.