Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x700196feacd4522326faf68495517e03ecf16a3e90ab5e65c08836b6c338d509
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 37c | 1,125$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.38 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 56c | 1,096$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.46 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 56c | 1,016$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.08 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 26c | 978.78$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.71 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 68c | 781.04$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.83 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 38c | 709.58$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.49 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 66c | 705$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.88 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 49c | 603.62$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.11 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…4e69backed No | 72c | 459.27$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 62c | 422.68$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.46 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 69c | 413.49$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.69 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 73c | 407.39$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.71 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 16c | 380.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.48 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 29c | 352.23$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.68 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 28c | 350$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.1 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 17c | 339.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 31c | 327.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.69 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 24c | 306.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.51 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe445…8750backed No | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 294$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.48 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 55c | 260.87$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 5c | 230.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…83a4backed Yes | 34c | 207.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…a971backed Yes | 43c | 206.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.39 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd351…b2d9backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 17c | 199.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.34 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6361…3ec4backed No | 68c | 179.04$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.71 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 79c | 177.2$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.71 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 53c | 175.89$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 77c | 171$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 70c | 170.21$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.31 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…11cdbacked Yes | 52c | 160.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9281…60febacked Yes | 29c | 157.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.02 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 25c | 149.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 31c | 147.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 55c | 145.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 71c | 133.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 26c | 132.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.83 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0948backed Yes | 34c | 130.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 38c | 120$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…64a4backed No | 58c | 118.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 73c | 115.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…39d5backed Yes | 30c | 112.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 231 | 29.4%68 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 48c | 111.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 47c | 110.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a5…9ae8backed No | 65c | 110.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 77c | 110$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…40aebacked Yes | 22c | 107.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d9…ec8abacked Yes | 28c | 103.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 156 | 30.8%48 W · 108 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…89dabacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 18c | 96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 31c | 95.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 51c | 93.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5c…cda7backed Yes | 32c | 92.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 78c | 92.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 43c | 92.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…05aabacked Yes | 19c | 91.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 21c | 89.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 58c | 84.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5484…84e8backed No | 71c | 84.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 25c | 83.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 77c | 80.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 68c | 77.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 22c | 77.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 26c | 76.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 1,275 | 34%433 W · 842 L | +46.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 68c | 76.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…7477backed No | 54c | 75.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -34.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 77c | 72.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 66c | 72.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 59c | 72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 67c | 71.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…b9a3backed Yes | 31c | 71.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +62%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed No | 48c | 67.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…32cebacked Yes | 38c | 65.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 65c | 64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b0…f988backed Yes | 40c | 62.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 39c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…229fbacked No | 33c | 59.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…a8bbbacked Yes | 50c | 59.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 73c | 57.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 66c | 57.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…8e3cbacked No | 73c | 52.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 78c | 52.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 23c | 52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3f…cd87backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 66c | 51.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…9e66backed No | 63c | 50.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…190dbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 41c | 48.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…427abacked Yes | 32c | 48.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 71c | 48.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 408 | 62.3%254 W · 154 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…600ebacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.