Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Darja Vidmanova vs Xinyu Gao
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70dc82b51ae94403511a58c04d8d88e50641c12877fc607b911ff1891906eecb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xinyu Gaoof Darja Vidmanova, Xinyu Gao
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x288c…3641backed Xinyu Gao | 39c | 5,126$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.13 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x109c…9cc4backed Xinyu Gao | 43c | 848.58$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Darja Vidmanova | 16c | 565.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 384 | 22.4%86 W · 298 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Xinyu Gao | 65c | 561.54$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.74 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Xinyu Gao | 22c | 511.2$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Xinyu Gao | 76c | 456$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Darja Vidmanova | 64c | 432.44$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.76 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Darja Vidmanova | 50c | 401.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Darja Vidmanova | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Darja Vidmanova | 68c | 309$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.07 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1740…529ebacked Darja Vidmanova | 71c | 282.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Darja Vidmanova | 76c | 259.74$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Darja Vidmanova | 78c | 254.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7067…38dbbacked Darja Vidmanova | 23c | 217.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Darja Vidmanova | 26c | 176.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Xinyu Gao | 59c | 162.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3468…e71ebacked Xinyu Gao | 26c | 147.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Xinyu Gao | 24c | 133.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Darja Vidmanova | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Xinyu Gao | 22c | 128.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Darja Vidmanova | 75c | 113.2$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Xinyu Gao | 28c | 111.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Xinyu Gao | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Darja Vidmanova | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Darja Vidmanova | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Xinyu Gao | 36c | 95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Xinyu Gao | 30c | 88.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xinyu Gao | 48c | 83.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Xinyu Gao | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Darja Vidmanova | 65c | 75.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Darja Vidmanova | 76c | 61.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…32a7backed Darja Vidmanova | 78c | 58.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 163 | 72.4%118 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Xinyu Gao | 42c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 439 | 50.8%223 W · 216 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Darja Vidmanova | 24c | 52.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Xinyu Gao | 65c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Darja Vidmanova | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…febcbacked Xinyu Gao | 77c | 51.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 74 | 74.3%55 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Xinyu Gao | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Xinyu Gao | 25c | 49.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Darja Vidmanova | 30c | 49.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Xinyu Gao | 38c | 48.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Xinyu Gao | 35c | 48.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Darja Vidmanova | 69c | 39.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ef…eb67backed Darja Vidmanova | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb1…3c8abacked Xinyu Gao | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Xinyu Gao | 78c | 31.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Darja Vidmanova | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…380bbacked Xinyu Gao | 54c | 23.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Darja Vidmanova | 69c | 21.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 336 | 55.1%185 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Xinyu Gao | 56c | 20.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Darja Vidmanova | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked Xinyu Gao | 76c | 16.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Xinyu Gao | 76c | 14.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.