Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x711e33a79b9157f81f1c9172b79237324dd40295e325d2290f9d670f92ac8021
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7615…308abacked No | 2c | 1,316$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 184 | 41.3%76 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 8c | 1,083$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 403.6$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.1 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 37c | 400.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.88 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 56c | 386.84$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.13 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 58c | 349.38$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.53 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 70c | 335.61$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.77 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 76c | 283.94$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 36c | 262.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 23c | 200.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82df…0f66backed Yes | 57c | 181.37$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.91 | 69 | 89.9%62 W · 7 L | +25.3wins | +0.37per pick | 53cpaid | +111%equal weight | 80+0.27 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 39c | 180$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 30c | 165$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 68c | 155.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe094…11cdbacked Yes | 29c | 146.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.86 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 70c | 142.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8746…f522backed Yes | 30c | 141.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.63 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 45c | 110.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 48c | 99.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 57c | 99.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…b458backed Yes | 58c | 97.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4323…f818backed No | 12c | 96.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 40c | 96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 44c | 90.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 44c | 87.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 57c | 87.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 61c | 86.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked Yes | 48c | 85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 41c | 72.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…bfbcbacked No | 70c | 71.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 65.4%121 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 18c | 68.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 44c | 64.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 39c | 63.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 57c | 59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 42c | 58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 43c | 57.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed No | 70c | 57.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 59c | 56.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked No | 71c | 56.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 64c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 55c | 52.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…902dbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a2…a1a7backed Yes | 44c | 49.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 44c | 48.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 59c | 48.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 76c | 46.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…71d7backed No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 333 | 73%243 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 45c | 43.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 67c | 42.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 53c | 41.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed No | 66c | 40.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 39c | 40.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…2fe3backed No | 76c | 35.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 42c | 35.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…bb31backed No | 78c | 33.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 162 | 72.2%117 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 46c | 31.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…a808backed Yes | 45c | 30.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 49c | 30.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 70c | 29.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 77c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 70c | 28.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa760…2c51backed No | 70c | 28.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 212 | 64.6%137 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 38c | 27.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 43c | 27.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd998…918bbacked Yes | 70c | 26.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 42c | 25.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 58c | 24.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e16…7f14backed No | 56c | 23.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 220 | 64.5%142 W · 78 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…db37backed No | 56c | 21.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…ddfebacked No | 61c | 20.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 63c | 19.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4d…50b1backed No | 56c | 19.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 129 | 72.1%93 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 71c | 16.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 70c | 16.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…c37cbacked No | 69c | 14.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.