NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7184d0266923c6367e08e791012736f0af42567f77ba98e23d51c4aecdb16e7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Hornets, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Hornets | 8c | 30,819$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.49 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Hornets | 7c | 23,692$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.98 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Hornets | 7c | 17,413$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.04 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Hornets | 0c | 13,643$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Hornets | 10c | 10,080$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Hornets | 1c | 8,832$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…673abacked Hornets | 8c | 6,424$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets | 1c | 6,014$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Hornets | 0c | 5,153$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hornets | 7c | 5,023$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.54 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455a…af2fbacked Hornets | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hornets | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets | 8c | 3,776$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.08 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hornets | 1c | 3,749$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Hornets | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…e4f7backed Hornets | 10c | 2,700$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…e077backed Hornets | 8c | 2,576$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Hornets | 1c | 2,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hornets | 8c | 2,250$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.94 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets | 8c | 2,164$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.51 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hornets | 1c | 1,700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Hornets | 8c | 1,685$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.89 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…e19fbacked Hornets | 10c | 1,500$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Hornets | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets | 1c | 1,493$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Hornets | 6c | 1,415$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Hornets | 7c | 1,413$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Hornets | 7c | 1,401$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Hornets | 8c | 1,400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Hornets | 1c | 1,335$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Hornets | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Hornets | 7c | 1,037$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d9…b270backed Hornets | 1c | 835.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hornets | 7c | 790$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Hornets | 7c | 790$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hornets | 2c | 706.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Hornets | 3c | 699.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Hornets | 7c | 646$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Hornets | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…00f0backed Hornets | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb380…5270backed Hornets | 7c | 510$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Hornets | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Hornets | 9c | 499.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…cd95backed Hornets | 9c | 444$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Hornets | 8c | 437.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Hornets | 7c | 399.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hornets | 8c | 366.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…15e2backed Hornets | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Hornets | 7c | 294$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Hornets | 10c | 252.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Hornets | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Hornets | 5c | 236.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Hornets | 7c | 221.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Hornets | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc37c…ba27backed Hornets | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b3…968abacked Hornets | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…0f45backed Hornets | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…5b44backed Hornets | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…5b5ebacked Hornets | 7c | 190$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets | 6c | 189.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Hornets | 10c | 183.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Hornets | 10c | 174.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…5688backed Hornets | 8c | 171.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed98…6554backed Hornets | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b08…47b9backed Hornets | 11c | 165.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Hornets | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12a…6a6fbacked Hornets | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8115…1038backed Hornets | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10bd…ce02backed Hornets | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0745…4428backed Hornets | 9c | 124.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Hornets | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Hornets | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.