Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71a05cf2c2a0e15729f795b1d62b2150165f0aeb44810eccf27ba74d64d0056a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed No | 69c | 1,227$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.56 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 32c | 575.97$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.11 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…1bb0backed No | 68c | 423.07$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.59 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf28c…cdf8backed Yes | 26c | 400$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.49 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 29c | 361.93$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 811 | 24.8%201 W · 610 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 71c | 356.31$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 37c | 315.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 419 | 27%113 W · 306 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…63a4backed Yes | 31c | 227.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes | 37c | 190.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 33c | 188.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 484 | 46.1%223 W · 261 L | +45.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 33c | 183.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 5,625 | 47.8%2,687 W · 2,938 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 78c | 175$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 2,043 | 61.7%1,261 W · 782 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 71c | 174.44$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 1,858 | 42.7%793 W · 1,065 L | +50.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked Yes | 30c | 171.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 70c | 171.19$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 2,201 | 62.2%1,370 W · 831 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 71c | 155.23$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 1,067 | 50.7%541 W · 526 L | +29.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 31c | 154.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 576 | 54.3%313 W · 263 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 30c | 154.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 5,255 | 49.8%2,618 W · 2,637 L | -163.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 70c | 153.05$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 245 | 70.6%173 W · 72 L | +22.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Yes | 28c | 136.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Yes | 24c | 118.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 499 | 51.7%258 W · 241 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 27c | 118.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 73c | 117.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 2,215 | 74%1,638 W · 577 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 73c | 103.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 2,274 | 56.7%1,289 W · 985 L | +65.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 31c | 102$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 580 | 53.4%310 W · 270 L | -26.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked Yes | 23c | 101.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 535 | 48.2%258 W · 277 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…4b96backed Yes | 29c | 101.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +8.2wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 29c | 100.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +28.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 625 | 39.7%248 W · 377 L | +28.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…2194backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 465 | 59.1%275 W · 190 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 39c | 99.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 185 | 42.2%78 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550e…94dbbacked Yes | 30c | 98.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…372abacked Yes | 28c | 98.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked No | 75c | 93.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 629 | 60.3%379 W · 250 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8a…627cbacked Yes | 34c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…32cebacked Yes | 36c | 89.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 197 | 55.8%110 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 88.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 5,836 | 60%3,502 W · 2,334 L | -112.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57f…e0f8backed Yes | 37c | 84.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 72c | 81.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 169 | 58.6%99 W · 70 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 47c | 80.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 2,201 | 56.8%1,250 W · 951 L | +69.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 30c | 79.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…68b0backed Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 22c | 72.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e75…0f1ebacked Yes | 30c | 72.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 27c | 72.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | +37.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a34…92cdbacked Yes | 31c | 69.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 65c | 68.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 5,003 | 53.5%2,678 W · 2,325 L | +31.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…ef20backed No | 64c | 66.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 352 | 83.8%295 W · 57 L | +39.0wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 33c | 62.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,314 | 54%709 W · 605 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…daa5backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed Yes | 30c | 55.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 997 | 57.2%570 W · 427 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 21c | 55.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 2,467 | 35.7%880 W · 1,587 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 923 | 34.1%315 W · 608 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 72c | 53.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 73c | 52.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 12,975 | 20.5%2,666 W · 10,309 L | -2,698.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8710…f9c7backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3990…06bebacked Yes | 25c | 49.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 370 | 27.8%103 W · 267 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…83a4backed No | 61c | 49.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…3f9dbacked Yes | 23c | 48.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 467 | 36.8%172 W · 295 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 68c | 47.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 3,725 | 33.8%1,258 W · 2,467 L | -194.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 73c | 46.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 26c | 46.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 2,362 | 20.6%486 W · 1,876 L | -63.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…004ebacked No | 70c | 45.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,439 | 58%1,414 W · 1,025 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8c…e802backed Yes | 27c | 44.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 69c | 42.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 986 | 51.1%504 W · 482 L | -49.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0022…c966backed No | 74c | 40.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 72c | 38.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 2,283 | 58.3%1,331 W · 952 L | +85.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88f…c4febacked No | 70c | 37.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 74c | 37.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2,223 | 56.1%1,247 W · 976 L | +54.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…63e1backed Yes | 35c | 37.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed No | 76c | 37.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 251 | 58.6%147 W · 104 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…18efbacked Yes | 28c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 70c | 36.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 2,254 | 56.9%1,283 W · 971 L | +69.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e56…3aebbacked No | 72c | 34.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…05fbbacked Yes | 39c | 33.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 71c | 32.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 1,488 | 57.3%853 W · 635 L | +46.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1,710 | 60.8%1,039 W · 671 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca1…7e1ebacked Yes | 34c | 31.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 70c | 31.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 2,250 | 57%1,282 W · 968 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 632 | 47.3%299 W · 333 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec42…5ffbbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 156 | 75.6%118 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,691 | 47.5%1,278 W · 1,413 L | +48.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e27…d5babacked Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…a665backed No | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…2541backed No | 72c | 27.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 71c | 27.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1,158 | 57.1%661 W · 497 L | -45.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b6c5backed No | 76c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 5,193 | 68.3%3,546 W · 1,647 L | +70.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 814 | 57.5%468 W · 346 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a2…9633backed No | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 69c | 22.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 2,226 | 59.1%1,316 W · 910 L | +110.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 75c | 22.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2,176 | 53.1%1,156 W · 1,020 L | +36.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 21.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 68c | 20.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 2,233 | 56%1,250 W · 983 L | +47.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed No | 76c | 20.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 71c | 20.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 1,128 | 55.4%625 W · 503 L | -30.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.