Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72ad6c6777b0357fbc0806d088944a2b98da937abadfeaa55e4fa6846375e432
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x331b…193fbacked No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 24c | 733.32$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.74 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 43c | 676.23$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.22 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 46c | 650.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.27 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 628.68$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.93 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed No | 54c | 518.59$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.23 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 24c | 422.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 36c | 368.53$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.15 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 328.9$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.78 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 33c | 306.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 18c | 229.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 43c | 218.89$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 65c | 194.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 52c | 194.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 62c | 187.43$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 13c | 165.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 39c | 160.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed No | 19c | 158.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 23.1%31 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 20c | 155.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked No | 62c | 147.21$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 31c | 145.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 52c | 135.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 46c | 135.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed No | 11c | 134.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…ef7cbacked No | 16c | 127.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 65c | 124.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 79c | 116.66$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 16c | 115.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…fe16backed Yes | 67c | 114.87$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed Yes | 50c | 112.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 56c | 110.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 77c | 108.42$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 22c | 106.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 36c | 105$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 58c | 103.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 75c | 103.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 26c | 103.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 45c | 101$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 55c | 101$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…4cd7backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 74c | 92.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 52c | 91.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 54c | 75.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 46c | 75.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 54c | 74.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 50c | 73.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd702…2087backed Yes | 40c | 68.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 49c | 67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 67c | 65.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 49c | 61.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e9…0208backed Yes | 66c | 61.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…52dcbacked Yes | 34c | 59.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 25c | 59.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 51c | 56.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e92…1245backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb455…6af1backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 24c | 49.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 41c | 48.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked Yes | 29c | 48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 71c | 44.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90b…ca12backed Yes | 54c | 43.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 42.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed No | 70c | 41.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…94cbbacked No | 68c | 40.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 232 | 41.8%97 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…3cecbacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…e902backed No | 48c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 33c | 39.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 55c | 38.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 59c | 36.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed No | 57c | 36.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0752…7ac0backed Yes | 31c | 35.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…1beabacked Yes | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 73c | 32.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7247…ecb6backed Yes | 80c | 31.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…9b27backed No | 80c | 30.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed Yes | 54c | 28.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 79c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 72c | 27.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 52c | 27.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 78c | 26.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…bf49backed Yes | 63c | 26.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…6d6ebacked Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…f36fbacked Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178a…f5b3backed No | 58c | 24.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 74c | 23.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 46c | 23.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 46c | 22.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.