Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Netherlands?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x736301148890990889e65891548999f6f45f79f11319f31d3097d1b309b2482e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 32,186$3,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Yes | 1c | 13,760$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 14c | 7,500$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.78 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 11c | 4,101$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.67 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 3,742$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.86 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,508$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.02 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 12c | 2,381$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.04 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cd…0558backed Yes | 12c | 1,186$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.67 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 13c | 1,137$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.42 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…0788backed Yes | 13c | 868.25$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 14c | 819.58$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.71 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…087fbacked Yes | 4c | 743.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 90 | 23.3%21 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes | 2c | 738.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 113 | 7.1%8 W · 105 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 15c | 719$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…abe7backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…bd80backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…9675backed Yes | 5c | 618.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 225 | 18.2%41 W · 184 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 15c | 533.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 9c | 522.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 198 | 17.2%34 W · 164 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 8c | 493.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 11c | 472.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…b42abacked Yes | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 165 | 24.2%40 W · 125 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…de5fbacked Yes | 5c | 370$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…e8e6backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…fccabacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 7c | 353.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd6…77dabacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 29.3%39 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…c6aabacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2f…4d6fbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 15.1%19 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…29febacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ad…d9e3backed Yes | 14c | 321.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…2ff1backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 120 | 15.8%19 W · 101 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 15c | 266$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb048…7f07backed Yes | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 12c | 232$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…552dbacked Yes | 14c | 224.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 366 | 27.3%100 W · 266 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510b…2feabacked Yes | 14c | 222.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…07d7backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…f4f7backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…74fdbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 271 | 28.4%77 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…ad62backed Yes | 15c | 213.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 132 | 15.2%20 W · 112 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 15c | 205.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 365 | 30.7%112 W · 253 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf0…be9cbacked Yes | 13c | 160$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 12c | 135.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 281 | 27.8%78 W · 203 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…371ebacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…8339backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…8166backed Yes | 12c | 129.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f3…6102backed Yes | 15c | 123.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 15c | 117.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…8f69backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6a…4694backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d4…2ad9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…1480backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…532bbacked Yes | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…ec4fbacked Yes | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…5632backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 14c | 76.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb77f…8b69backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Netherlands?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 0 Netherlands?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 1 Netherlands?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Netherlands?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 0 Netherlands?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 1 Netherlands?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 2 Netherlands?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands?Yes won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 2 - 1 Netherlands?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 2 - 2 Netherlands?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 2 - 3 Netherlands?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 3 - 0 Netherlands?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 3 - 1 Netherlands?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 3 - 2 Netherlands?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 3 - 3 Netherlands?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.