CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Trainwrecks eSports (BO1) - Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74178aec9f5b709b8f37a85ed4b89b1f79712c47e200f17a7457678791e96d52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trainwrecks eSportsof RoundsGG, Trainwrecks eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed RoundsGG | 73c | 2,998$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.34 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed RoundsGG | 69c | 2,223$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.12 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Trainwrecks eSports | 25c | 2,193$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.15 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Trainwrecks eSports | 27c | 1,334$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.94 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…3ab3backed Trainwrecks eSports | 32c | 1,010$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.06 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Trainwrecks eSports | 28c | 753$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.96 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Trainwrecks eSports | 41c | 751.97$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.52 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked RoundsGG | 69c | 516.32$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.26 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked RoundsGG | 64c | 457.71$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.58 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Trainwrecks eSports | 13c | 437.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.46 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked RoundsGG | 59c | 433.6$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.87 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Trainwrecks eSports | 29c | 352.75$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.45 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Trainwrecks eSports | 27c | 281.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.05 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Trainwrecks eSports | 37c | 271.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.88 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed RoundsGG | 64c | 253.97$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.67 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fe…5cbfbacked Trainwrecks eSports | 35c | 252.91$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.34 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Trainwrecks eSports | 29c | 249.02$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.47 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed RoundsGG | 53c | 231.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Trainwrecks eSports | 23c | 226$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.01 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed RoundsGG | 74c | 219.58$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.22 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Trainwrecks eSports | 14c | 211.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.33 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Trainwrecks eSports | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Trainwrecks eSports | 14c | 198.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.84 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed RoundsGG | 69c | 198.06$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked RoundsGG | 75c | 194.91$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.78 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Trainwrecks eSports | 35c | 190.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed RoundsGG | 60c | 185.1$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked RoundsGG | 64c | 180.66$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed RoundsGG | 70c | 169.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed RoundsGG | 61c | 146.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Trainwrecks eSports | 35c | 145$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Trainwrecks eSports | 37c | 142.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed RoundsGG | 63c | 140.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.42 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Trainwrecks eSports | 21c | 136$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked RoundsGG | 54c | 130.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Trainwrecks eSports | 29c | 127.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…2359backed RoundsGG | 63c | 112.14$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked RoundsGG | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 193 | 42.5%82 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RoundsGG | 78c | 105.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Trainwrecks eSports | 34c | 102.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Trainwrecks eSports | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked RoundsGG | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Trainwrecks eSports | 23c | 98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Trainwrecks eSports | 32c | 97.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RoundsGG | 49c | 97.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked Trainwrecks eSports | 30c | 96.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Trainwrecks eSports | 33c | 95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Trainwrecks eSports | 34c | 94.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed RoundsGG | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed RoundsGG | 67c | 88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trainwrecks eSports | 18c | 83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Trainwrecks eSports | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…65dabacked Trainwrecks eSports | 20c | 77.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Trainwrecks eSports | 39c | 76.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…9cb5backed Trainwrecks eSports | 38c | 76.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked RoundsGG | 79c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Trainwrecks eSports | 28c | 70.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed RoundsGG | 61c | 70.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Trainwrecks eSports | 36c | 64.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked RoundsGG | 54c | 56.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Trainwrecks eSports | 20c | 53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Trainwrecks eSports | 31c | 48.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed RoundsGG | 66c | 45.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed RoundsGG | 43c | 43.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd87a…540dbacked RoundsGG | 54c | 42.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Trainwrecks eSports | 31c | 39.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Trainwrecks eSports | 39c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed RoundsGG | 59c | 33.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…c3a2backed RoundsGG | 66c | 33.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…588dbacked RoundsGG | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked RoundsGG | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked RoundsGG | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 277 | 46.2%128 W · 149 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.