MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x754fe74ebdc926d3ac7cf0a969ead6499449c35aa6a6a9a980c5b440bcbb9dd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 49c | 204,081$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,081.31 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,999.96 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Under | 51c | 70,000$35,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,700 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 51c | 67,845$34,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,600.93 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 49c | 23,789$11,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,132.56 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 52c | 20,363$10,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,588.57 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 7,530$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.79 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…a4f5backed Over | 48c | 6,348$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.52 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 40c | 5,757$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,431.63 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 4,597$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.04 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 4,574$2,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 4,572$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.49 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 3,711$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.13 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 3,133$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.64 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 3,073$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.4 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 53c | 2,985$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.42 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…2087backed Under | 5c | 2,400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…858dbacked Under | 52c | 1,779$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…7d84backed Under | 2c | 1,738$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 51c | 1,723$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.6 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 48c | 999.88$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.94 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 997.95$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.95 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 49c | 715$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.65 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 684.07$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.88 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 45c | 533.94$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.67 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…b1debacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 6c | 470.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 465$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.8 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 420$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 55c | 394.25$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.84 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 35c | 385.97$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.88 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Over | 49c | 364.16$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.72 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 73c | 346.89$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.1 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 52c | 287.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.51 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 55c | 236.53$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.09 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 56c | 227.83$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Over | 49c | 187.71$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 8c | 180.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 42c | 177.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 58c | 173.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…fb64backed Over | 24c | 170.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…daecbacked Under | 60c | 167.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 52c | 153.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 43c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 57c | 139.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 53c | 118$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over | 49c | 102.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 100.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 51c | 95.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Over | 41c | 92.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 52c | 82.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 45c | 77.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 49c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 52c | 57.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 47c | 57.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Under | 61c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…f0e0backed Under | 59c | 53.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 61c | 52.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 63c | 50.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Over | 49c | 49.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…e203backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 45.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Over | 44c | 45.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 48c | 39.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 58c | 39.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 53c | 38.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 47c | 38.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…28f3backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 52c | 37.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 52c | 33.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…4928backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…21dcbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 53c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Under | 52c | 25.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Over | 51c | 23.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…91ccbacked Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 52c | 19.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati RedsMilwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.