Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x758218cfd251e25c1c13f93b8bf65dcf6a30230c254b38980a26010373dc7f6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 40c | 2,200$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.37 | 1,472 | 34.8%512 W · 960 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 78c | 1,882$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.23 | 1,488 | 57.3%853 W · 635 L | +46.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,183$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.19 | 4,700 | 26.6%1,248 W · 3,452 L | +64.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…a235backed No | 59c | 1,086$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.22 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b29…f288backed No | 70c | 873.08$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.08 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb106…13f4backed No | 58c | 450.75$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.32 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…4d02backed Yes | 37c | 429.82$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.98 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 24c | 411.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 19c | 394.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 3,064 | 33.5%1,027 W · 2,037 L | +13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked Yes | 31c | 366.91$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.43 | 483 | 62.5%302 W · 181 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 28c | 342.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.02 | 2,362 | 20.6%486 W · 1,876 L | -63.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 68c | 339.83$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.46 | 725 | 42.2%306 W · 419 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 34c | 322.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 5,255 | 49.8%2,618 W · 2,637 L | -163.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 29c | 300$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 571 | 43.4%248 W · 323 L | -32.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 44c | 292.89$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.58 | 1,858 | 42.7%793 W · 1,065 L | +50.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 62c | 210.4$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 76c | 186.07$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 461 | 62.3%287 W · 174 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…52dbbacked No | 61c | 182$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 58c | 177.71$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 726 | 20.4%148 W · 578 L | -46.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 70c | 170.09$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 2,201 | 62.2%1,370 W · 831 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd6…b33cbacked No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 41c | 165.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 10,044 | 44.8%4,500 W · 5,544 L | +257.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 25c | 151.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 600 | 32%192 W · 408 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…8c23backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 62c | 149.4$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 1,254 | 59.8%750 W · 504 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…b8febacked No | 64c | 141.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 309 | 67%207 W · 102 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 30c | 137.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 691 | 50.5%349 W · 342 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2572…80dbbacked Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…2721backed Yes | 29c | 117.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 253 | 57.7%146 W · 107 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 32c | 113.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 986 | 51.1%504 W · 482 L | -49.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 27c | 111.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 1,477 | 58.6%865 W · 612 L | +72.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 71c | 111$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e88…697dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…a202backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed No | 61c | 91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 525 | 67%352 W · 173 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 887 | 49.5%439 W · 448 L | -26.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 22c | 84.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 5,625 | 47.8%2,687 W · 2,938 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 4,032 | 35.6%1,436 W · 2,596 L | +42.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…3ef1backed Yes | 26c | 76.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…ae41backed Yes | 39c | 74.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 62c | 73.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 3,649 | 53.2%1,943 W · 1,706 L | +83.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed Yes | 71c | 73.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 84 | 76.2%64 W · 20 L | +14.9wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 63c | 72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 1,196 | 50.8%608 W · 588 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 18c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 378 | 43.7%165 W · 213 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 37c | 63.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 12,975 | 20.5%2,666 W · 10,309 L | -2,698.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 247 | 56.3%139 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked Yes | 26c | 58.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…6aa2backed Yes | 39c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | -11.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked No | 59c | 50.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 47c | 43.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 2,340 | 58.7%1,373 W · 967 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da7…beefbacked Yes | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 43c | 40.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 940 | 44.8%421 W · 519 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7c…8785backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 37c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2,467 | 35.7%880 W · 1,587 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 9,962 | 45.9%4,572 W · 5,390 L | -309.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 41c | 36.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4f…9f11backed No | 72c | 35.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 45c | 35.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 294 | 49%144 W · 150 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 50c | 35.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 53c | 34.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 59c | 32.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 358 | 64%229 W · 129 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…24e0backed No | 51c | 32.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 412 | 74.8%308 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…1486backed No | 70c | 31.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 39c | 30.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 582 | 47.8%278 W · 304 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 48c | 30.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 3,810 | 65.8%2,508 W · 1,302 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 61c | 30.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1,268 | 58.4%740 W · 528 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 4,627 | 58.3%2,696 W · 1,931 L | -114.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…34e7backed No | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 262 | 67.6%177 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,691 | 47.5%1,278 W · 1,413 L | +48.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf361…08f6backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…ded2backed No | 76c | 28.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed Yes | 41c | 28.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 997 | 57.2%570 W · 427 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…3f9dbacked Yes | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 467 | 36.8%172 W · 295 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 67c | 27.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 2,295 | 59.3%1,360 W · 935 L | +118.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…a510backed No | 71c | 26.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…2fa1backed No | 63c | 26.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed No | 58c | 25.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1269…9c5cbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 1,926 | 62.8%1,210 W · 716 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd886…1746backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…76aebacked Yes | 71c | 19.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ef2fbacked No | 75c | 19.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…8bfebacked Yes | 70c | 15.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 230 | 66.5%153 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on August 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on August 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on August 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.