CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75d8a0fd6076be59dffc6553a59652e3cbc49c9c5c2c6b1350b147c13aefa47f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof Butterfly, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Butterfly | 58c | 5,243$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.42 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…86a0backed Butterfly | 1c | 4,089$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…1e42backed Butterfly | 1c | 3,894$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 Ares | 53c | 3,621$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.44 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed G2 Ares | 41c | 2,260$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.87 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked G2 Ares | 37c | 1,793$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.46 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed G2 Ares | 45c | 1,752$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.28 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked G2 Ares | 47c | 1,743$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.34 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…01c5backed Butterfly | 57c | 1,704$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.07 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed G2 Ares | 41c | 1,578$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.36 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked G2 Ares | 42c | 1,481$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.96 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed G2 Ares | 37c | 1,448$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.86 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Butterfly | 38c | 1,232$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.79 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Butterfly | 54c | 1,155$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.39 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Butterfly | 71c | 1,066$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.1 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Butterfly | 51c | 1,033$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.02 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…cafebacked Butterfly | 50c | 994.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Butterfly | 11c | 890.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Butterfly | 64c | 863.79$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2764…ec08backed Butterfly | 55c | 849.98$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Ares | 47c | 848.61$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.03 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…960ebacked Butterfly | 64c | 758.73$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.35 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Butterfly | 56c | 615.96$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.63 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked Butterfly | 52c | 558.86$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.61 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed G2 Ares | 50c | 547$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.5 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked G2 Ares | 46c | 496.62$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.96 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Ares | 72c | 478.2$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.55 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa91a…ddacbacked Butterfly | 58c | 463.73$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.16 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Butterfly | 25c | 461.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked G2 Ares | 75c | 398.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Ares | 55c | 395.13$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.84 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed G2 Ares | 36c | 394.28$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.04 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Butterfly | 38c | 385.45$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.34 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Butterfly | 13c | 380.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…3128backed Butterfly | 68c | 349.77$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.9 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked G2 Ares | 33c | 333.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.33 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed G2 Ares | 37c | 319.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.44 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed Butterfly | 51c | 290$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed G2 Ares | 33c | 266.66$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.66 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.19per pick | 30cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…42a6backed Butterfly | 51c | 264.71$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…9215backed Butterfly | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Butterfly | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed G2 Ares | 54c | 245.03$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed G2 Ares | 46c | 238.41$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.7 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked G2 Ares | 71c | 236.57$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeae…a2fabacked G2 Ares | 43c | 233.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.52 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Butterfly | 41c | 224.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed G2 Ares | 56c | 223.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked G2 Ares | 45c | 222.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked G2 Ares | 21c | 211.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.73 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Butterfly | 43c | 206.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Butterfly | 66c | 199.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Butterfly | 22c | 198.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked G2 Ares | 44c | 198.25$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Butterfly | 57c | 196.91$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed G2 Ares | 25c | 189.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed G2 Ares | 15c | 184.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.18 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd3…6635backed G2 Ares | 51c | 182.35$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Butterfly | 39c | 171.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Ares | 32c | 170.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.32 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Butterfly | 60c | 167.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed G2 Ares | 20c | 167.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.36 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Butterfly | 67c | 160.86$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked G2 Ares | 20c | 153.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed G2 Ares | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b3…90c7backed Butterfly | 76c | 144.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Butterfly | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked G2 Ares | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed G2 Ares | 72c | 136.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed G2 Ares | 46c | 134.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed G2 Ares | 29c | 131.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Ares | 26c | 130.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked G2 Ares | 45c | 113$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed G2 Ares | 44c | 102$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Butterfly | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 245 | 62%152 W · 93 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed G2 Ares | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed G2 Ares | 46c | 96.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8072…c60abacked G2 Ares | 44c | 93.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed G2 Ares | 39c | 93.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Ares | 34c | 90.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed G2 Ares | 41c | 82.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed G2 Ares | 22c | 82.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed G2 Ares | 70c | 77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 Ares | 44c | 76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked G2 Ares | 44c | 63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…a82dbacked G2 Ares | 50c | 62.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked G2 Ares | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Butterfly | 80c | 57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…5f8fbacked G2 Ares | 66c | 56.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed Butterfly | 51c | 56.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3320…c9e7backed G2 Ares | 57c | 52.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed Butterfly | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked G2 Ares | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed G2 Ares | 33c | 47.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed G2 Ares | 34c | 45.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked G2 Ares | 39c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked G2 Ares | 46c | 42.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Butterfly | 60c | 40.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…2ee4backed G2 Ares | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed G2 Ares | 51c | 39.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs G2 Ares - Map 1 WinnerButterfly won
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs G2 Ares - Map 2 WinnerG2 Ares won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.