La Liga · resolved market
Granada CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x764cbfb7a3b4626b335b1b3c7a21db5816c3e2b528533dee62658f01a06ed2de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 7,538$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.39 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 6,708$4,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.42 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 69c | 2,464$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.65 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 37c | 2,299$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.74 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 23c | 1,794$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.81 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Over | 30c | 1,668$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 61c | 1,620$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.82 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 77c | 1,607$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.06 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Over | 34c | 1,502$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Over | 23c | 1,340$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 16c | 756.92$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.39 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 17c | 648.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.38 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under | 65c | 633.74$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 18c | 514$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 69c | 426.75$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.35 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 68c | 400.88$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 80c | 369.42$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 64c | 288$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 64c | 277.77$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 60c | 276.4$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Over | 22c | 222.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 43c | 218.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 19c | 208.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 62c | 167$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 40c | 147$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 64c | 131$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed Over | 27c | 129.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 64c | 107.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e14…5169backed Under | 68c | 101.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 77c | 100.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 67c | 88.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 68c | 87.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 53c | 85.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…4078backed Under | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 77cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…dc74backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 63c | 56.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…f43dbacked Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 51c | 55.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 72c | 51.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 28c | 51.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252e…7f53backed Over | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 62c | 42.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 39c | 41.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…9e2bbacked Under | 61c | 40.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 41c | 35.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 60c | 35.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 67c | 31.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 67c | 29.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Under | 71c | 28.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 62c | 25.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 62c | 25.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…2329backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 62c | 16.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 74c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Granada CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5this page
- Granada CF vs. RCD Mallorca: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Granada CF vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Granada CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 0.5Over won
- Granada CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Granada CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5Under won
- Granada CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Granada CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Granada CF (-1.5)Granada CF won
- Spread: Granada CF (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)Granada CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.