Movies · resolved market
Will Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79b442baaf16cd9c36c8c4b5d192a8e4cca6f07003ba81bc0a687eb0c2c4f9b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,548 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x822a…23a0backed Yes | 6c | 8,439$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…c130backed Yes | 5c | 6,426$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d1…b35cbacked Yes | 5c | 5,691$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…7427backed Yes | 5c | 5,639$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 5c | 5,456$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.13 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 5c | 4,777$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.83 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 4,498$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…40c1backed Yes | 5c | 3,296$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212f…23e3backed Yes | 6c | 3,219$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ff…bc38backed Yes | 6c | 2,856$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8782…a45ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,481$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c5…1ad1backed Yes | 6c | 2,431$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb39…1996backed Yes | 4c | 2,356$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…3011backed Yes | 4c | 2,297$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7e…128bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,026$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da4…eb75backed Yes | 4c | 2,012$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f24…aefcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,983$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…a09ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,953$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…9341backed Yes | 6c | 1,726$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f9…e193backed Yes | 6c | 1,567$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd24backed Yes | 6c | 1,414$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,382$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec9d…3033backed Yes | 5c | 1,382$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5c…869cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,339$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 4c | 1,324$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4229…a471backed Yes | 6c | 1,309$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c1…58fdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,241$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…6587backed Yes | 5c | 1,235$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc929…1377backed Yes | 8c | 1,203$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…8716backed Yes | 5c | 1,141$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…af1ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,126$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ca…0b73backed Yes | 9c | 1,101$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…4e28backed Yes | 6c | 1,091$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…14e6backed Yes | 6c | 1,079$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…1469backed Yes | 4c | 1,070$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…02abbacked Yes | 6c | 1,036$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0a…3976backed Yes | 5c | 1,034$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2609…6617backed Yes | 6c | 1,013$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6151…1678backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…b8f4backed Yes | 5c | 951.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced9…ff9dbacked Yes | 6c | 936$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 4c | 910.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb9…6753backed Yes | 6c | 902$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 3c | 884$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 5c | 874.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…f15cbacked Yes | 6c | 859$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…39b0backed Yes | 6c | 850.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…4588backed Yes | 6c | 847$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…b94ebacked Yes | 5c | 836$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…cb71backed Yes | 5c | 818.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 800$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…0100backed Yes | 5c | 788$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 6c | 786$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…1e8dbacked Yes | 6c | 735.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c9…0877backed Yes | 6c | 719$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed Yes | 5c | 718.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…78eabacked Yes | 6c | 687$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…e9a2backed Yes | 5c | 677$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…b7acbacked Yes | 6c | 671$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6355…d2cfbacked Yes | 4c | 666.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…a6e9backed Yes | 6c | 662$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 653.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…9452backed Yes | 5c | 649$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3daa…c3fcbacked Yes | 5c | 633$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…b302backed Yes | 6c | 627$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…d01cbacked Yes | 5c | 613$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…1fa9backed Yes | 6c | 611$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 5c | 600$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…57f0backed Yes | 6c | 586$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 3c | 584.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb095…103ebacked Yes | 5c | 584$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…4468backed Yes | 5c | 576$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ea…3955backed Yes | 3c | 560.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002c…4167backed Yes | 5c | 559$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…0876backed Yes | 6c | 542$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 515.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 506.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 5c | 499$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c3…bbbcbacked Yes | 6c | 492$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 6c | 487.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 443.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 3c | 428.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c8…b82abacked Yes | 5c | 420.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…f17cbacked Yes | 6c | 419.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 5c | 407.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…6a0dbacked Yes | 5c | 402.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd6…7fefbacked Yes | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc715…1b7dbacked Yes | 5c | 390$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…3eccbacked Yes | 7c | 371.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 355.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e9…ebb3backed Yes | 6c | 351.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…b12dbacked Yes | 4c | 350.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 7c | 343.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 116 | 4.3%5 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Yes | 6c | 342.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…655dbacked Yes | 5c | 315.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27fc…ddbcbacked Yes | 5c | 300.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…0b0cbacked Yes | 6c | 294.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa310…caa2backed Yes | 5c | 279.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…1f4fbacked Yes | 5c | 278.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Arco win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Elio win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Little Amelie or the Character of Rain win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.