NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bd304bce1e0e99619607115c9a646c32c1f09f9a2728d141fbbe6ee8a05217c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Hornets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Hornets | 8c | 8,702$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Hornets | 0c | 5,451$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff5…6063backed Hornets | 1c | 5,013$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hornets | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Hornets | 7c | 4,408$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.57 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…a2a9backed Hornets | 4c | 3,652$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets | 8c | 3,523$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.81 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Hornets | 2c | 3,462$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hornets | 0c | 3,279$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e9…df05backed Hornets | 8c | 3,075$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Hornets | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Hornets | 7c | 2,817$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.66 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets | 1c | 2,731$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Hornets | 2c | 2,560$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Hornets | 9c | 2,411$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hornets | 7c | 2,233$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.33 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Hornets | 9c | 2,182$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hornets | 5c | 1,928$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Hornets | 9c | 1,778$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hornets | 8c | 1,743$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.03 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Hornets | 7c | 1,700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.97 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…d133backed Hornets | 8c | 1,600$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets | 6c | 1,400$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Hornets | 7c | 1,352$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7704…d9ddbacked Hornets | 6c | 1,331$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Hornets | 10c | 1,311$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…c534backed Hornets | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hornets | 9c | 1,241$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets | 8c | 1,136$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Hornets | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…2167backed Hornets | 2c | 1,105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 1c | 1,050$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Hornets | 5c | 1,044$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Hornets | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Hornets | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Hornets | 20c | 734.84$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…a1d1backed Hornets | 3c | 700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets | 10c | 699.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Hornets | 8c | 642$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…1f3abacked Hornets | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Hornets | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Hornets | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Hornets | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…cfb7backed Hornets | 2c | 550$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Hornets | 7c | 524.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Hornets | 2c | 517.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Hornets | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…a2f7backed Hornets | 8c | 499.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…4d7ebacked Hornets | 9c | 466.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Hornets | 8c | 454.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Hornets | 7c | 450$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 174 | 64.9%113 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed Hornets | 8c | 437.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Hornets | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Hornets | 3c | 387.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Hornets | 9c | 380.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Hornets | 8c | 334.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Hornets | 8c | 321.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e4…6db0backed Hornets | 8c | 312$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Hornets | 8c | 299.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf3…30dbbacked Hornets | 9c | 276.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a6…5e9bbacked Hornets | 16c | 271$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Hornets | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…8058backed Hornets | 6c | 248.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Hornets | 10c | 209.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Hornets | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Hornets | 8c | 185.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…fcc2backed Hornets | 8c | 174.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 247 | 25.9%64 W · 183 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Hornets | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…d3eabacked Hornets | 8c | 162$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc280…de71backed Hornets | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…a92dbacked Hornets | 8c | 137.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…10f6backed Hornets | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b6…7641backed Hornets | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Hornets | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…1a68backed Hornets | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…c482backed Hornets | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…4621backed Hornets | 16c | 119$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Hornets | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…38d0backed Hornets | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Hornets | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d6…dc35backed Hornets | 16c | 91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…19bbbacked Hornets | 12c | 87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ea…c57abacked Hornets | 18c | 57.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ee…1d46backed Warriors | 77c | 30.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…04ddbacked Warriors | 77c | 27.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Warriors | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 139 | 69.1%96 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.