TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Matej Dodig

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nicolai Budkov Kjaerof Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, Matej Dodig
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc53c…b769backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer72c75,000$54,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,999.992157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Matej Dodig27c54,979$14,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,883.448,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Matej Dodig18c8,524$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.241,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Matej Dodig12c6,343$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.558,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Matej Dodig24c5,142$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.276,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Matej Dodig6c4,256$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25031234.6%108 W · 204 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer79c4,147$3,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.393,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer78c3,543$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.724,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Matej Dodig14c3,470$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4814,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Matej Dodig24c2,895$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.434,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Matej Dodig24c2,761$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.062,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe55c…7ba7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer71c1,336$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.15560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Matej Dodig30c1,330$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39933438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Matej Dodig21c1,301$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.1394447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Matej Dodig19c1,143$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.511,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Matej Dodig30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30072452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Matej Dodig31c808.04$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.032,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Matej Dodig28c786.2$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2245,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Matej Dodig12c570.9$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.252,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer75c481.15$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.291,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x411e…72f0backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer72c464.18$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.1915762.4%98 W · 59 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Matej Dodig22c450$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9926921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Matej Dodig23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba9a…6fbebacked Matej Dodig17c417.24$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.932250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfac7…78ebbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer67c373.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.138153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa7…e4adbacked Matej Dodig13c373.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a17…5f06backed Matej Dodig27c366.69$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9813137.4%49 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Matej Dodig15c345.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c3…90fcbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer79c333.57$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.571346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matej Dodig16c331.08$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.818,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Matej Dodig31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013029.2%38 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Matej Dodig16c306.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4944527.2%121 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer70c305.34$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.66462.5%40 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer70c283.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.838956.2%50 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Matej Dodig29c282.05$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9722246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Matej Dodig31c261.34$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.992,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Matej Dodig33c249.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.53,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Matej Dodig16c208$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.882,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Matej Dodig33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer78c200$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4520953.6%112 W · 97 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Matej Dodig29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer78c192.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.311,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Matej Dodig16c183.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9636545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Matej Dodig24c176.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3225448.4%123 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer76c172.18$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.471,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Matej Dodig13c156.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6880341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer66c150.26$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4811149.5%55 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Matej Dodig29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.51,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x845c…0bdbbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer67c149.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.222343.5%10 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.895345.3%24 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Matej Dodig17c125.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.832,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Matej Dodig31c125$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.751,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer70c114$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.21,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer70c111.89$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.553,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…2b21backed Matej Dodig24c111.37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.734949%24 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Matej Dodig15c110.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8224748.6%120 W · 127 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff7…d9d4backed Matej Dodig16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625020.8%52 W · 198 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer76c98.73$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.459824.5%24 W · 74 L-16.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6297…1302backed Matej Dodig27c96.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Matej Dodig19c94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8662727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer69c92.65$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.727,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Matej Dodig33c85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7555748.8%272 W · 285 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Matej Dodig28c83.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5135649.4%176 W · 180 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Matej Dodig33c83.76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2843553.1%231 W · 204 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Matej Dodig31c76.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.82,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer69c76.14$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.696755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Matej Dodig28c75.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.162,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer67c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.751,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Matej Dodig17c74.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.431,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7233…6520backed Matej Dodig31c62.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.510951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer70c42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.623272.8%169 W · 63 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick75cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb7…943ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer72c41.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.451060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+75.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer70c40.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1267848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Matej Dodig29c37.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1129237.3%109 W · 183 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Matej Dodig32c37.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223159.3%137 W · 94 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer70c37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Matej Dodig31c35.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.013,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer76c31.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4593945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8318…34a6backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer78c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7110032%32 W · 68 L-30.3wins-0.30per pick62cpaid-51%equal weight23-0.24 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeff4…88d2backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8951…dfcfbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer69c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1325858.1%150 W · 108 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77e6…0ae1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1315864.6%102 W · 56 L-0.8wins0.00per pick65cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.293557.3%536 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…67e6backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer79c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7237255.6%207 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer69c14.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3931657%180 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.