MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d341c57676e31bb7f4e27ccbb04d4b0985b2c96728ed50c082910e8029e13e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof NC Dinos, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Kia Tigers | 12c | 950.59$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Kia Tigers | 47c | 917.69$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.56 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed NC Dinos | 53c | 714.47$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.43 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kia Tigers | 15c | 652.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…bceabacked Kia Tigers | 45c | 396.52$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 373.38$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.29 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NC Dinos | 56c | 365.73$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 32c | 353.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…43f6backed NC Dinos | 57c | 343.42$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kia Tigers | 13c | 326.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Kia Tigers | 43c | 245$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 57c | 244$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 228.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…8712backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked NC Dinos | 56c | 187.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Kia Tigers | 43c | 149.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed NC Dinos | 56c | 138.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kia Tigers | 29c | 136.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NC Dinos | 56c | 131.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked NC Dinos | 58c | 114.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…8d9cbacked NC Dinos | 51c | 113.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed NC Dinos | 56c | 100.54$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked NC Dinos | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed NC Dinos | 56c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed NC Dinos | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed NC Dinos | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NC Dinos | 57c | 97.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…7c8bbacked Kia Tigers | 36c | 69.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed NC Dinos | 56c | 62.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 56c | 59.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kia Tigers | 40c | 52.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 64c | 52.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked NC Dinos | 57c | 50.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NC Dinos | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed NC Dinos | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed NC Dinos | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NC Dinos | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a86…4eebbacked NC Dinos | 60c | 41.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed NC Dinos | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Kia Tigers | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NC Dinos | 61c | 39.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed NC Dinos | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed NC Dinos | 57c | 29.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 29.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Kia Tigers | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed NC Dinos | 57c | 21.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed NC Dinos | 52c | 20.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…105cbacked NC Dinos | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed NC Dinos | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.