TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Queens (NC) Royals vs. North Alabama Lions

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Queens (NC) Royalsof Queens (NC) Royals, North Alabama Lions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,154 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcdb8…abbebacked North Alabama Lions27c1,874$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.191,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Queens (NC) Royals77c1,810$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.141,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Queens (NC) Royals64c1,353$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.941,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed North Alabama Lions34c1,204$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.134943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Queens (NC) Royals76c1,201$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.2614151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked North Alabama Lions28c1,066$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.384,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked North Alabama Lions23c888.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3337441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed North Alabama Lions22c861.36$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.571,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Queens (NC) Royals69c843.82$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.993,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Queens (NC) Royals78c777.92$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.9637947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Queens (NC) Royals76c707.11$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.715759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed North Alabama Lions37c691.15$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.932,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Queens (NC) Royals78c662.45$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.991,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed North Alabama Lions24c660.86$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6199045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed North Alabama Lions24c566.57$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7625946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Queens (NC) Royals73c564$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.071,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked North Alabama Lions21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Queens (NC) Royals76c346$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.851,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Queens (NC) Royals76c344.4$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.92,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked North Alabama Lions28c311.8$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.545,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked North Alabama Lions24c300$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed North Alabama Lions24c288.12$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1513840.6%56 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed North Alabama Lions31c288$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.23,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Queens (NC) Royals69c287.93$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8487047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Queens (NC) Royals68c256.99$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.711,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e3…1080backed Queens (NC) Royals76c215$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.62853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked North Alabama Lions23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked North Alabama Lions27c195$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1625337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Queens (NC) Royals54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1915055.3%83 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed North Alabama Lions22c174.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3423948.1%115 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Queens (NC) Royals77c167.92$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.211,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Queens (NC) Royals54c167.6$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.69153.8%49 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed North Alabama Lions40c156.11$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0570936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Queens (NC) Royals79c135$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.138343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Queens (NC) Royals76c127.28$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9540755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Queens (NC) Royals56c124.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2471655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed North Alabama Lions28c105$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1933445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x106d…ccefbacked Queens (NC) Royals77c103.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.93844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed North Alabama Lions37c96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6199848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Queens (NC) Royals70c91.55$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.861,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Queens (NC) Royals74c89.1$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.291,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Queens (NC) Royals79c86.08$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0823363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed North Alabama Lions25c85.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1692246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Queens (NC) Royals77c80.74$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5721955.3%121 W · 98 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked North Alabama Lions28c78.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.931,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f97…eaa2backed North Alabama Lions24c66.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed North Alabama Lions22c62.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8437835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed North Alabama Lions20c61.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.352,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked North Alabama Lions22c57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5461244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed North Alabama Lions32c54.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.341,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Queens (NC) Royals47c52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5612540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked North Alabama Lions22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed North Alabama Lions45c45.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1429954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed North Alabama Lions43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9830945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x306c…51f2backed Queens (NC) Royals68c29.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.215341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Queens (NC) Royals75c29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.252,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked North Alabama Lions43c24.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.870349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x485d…fc8abacked Queens (NC) Royals79c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.83560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98df…41b7backed Queens (NC) Royals67c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.284452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Queens (NC) Royals77c15.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5118557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Queens (NC) Royals76c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3615066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.