MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d843adf7971270a4a29ba5ea6a856cd04ed61f9355a23a2896db9c01ffc8706
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof KT Wiz, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf009…43d0backed KT Wiz | 63c | 1,432$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 1,000$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.64 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kia Tigers | 37c | 805.34$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.01 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked KT Wiz | 45c | 650.29$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.54 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kia Tigers | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed KT Wiz | 57c | 499.98$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 475$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed KT Wiz | 53c | 400$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 388.27$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.31 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked KT Wiz | 61c | 351.3$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.68 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 341.92$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.5 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 341.67$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.75 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed KT Wiz | 62c | 329.96$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.58 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KT Wiz | 34c | 263.62$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 225.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.73 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked KT Wiz | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…b36abacked KT Wiz | 61c | 162.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed KT Wiz | 62c | 162.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Kia Tigers | 69c | 137$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked KT Wiz | 57c | 135.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Kia Tigers | 78c | 121$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed KT Wiz | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Kia Tigers | 39c | 92.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Kia Tigers | 40c | 91.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Kia Tigers | 38c | 86.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed KT Wiz | 58c | 86.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kia Tigers | 38c | 81.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked KT Wiz | 61c | 80.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed KT Wiz | 39c | 75.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…d1cbbacked KT Wiz | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed KT Wiz | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383a…c9e5backed KT Wiz | 61c | 69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed KT Wiz | 17c | 65.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kia Tigers | 63c | 64.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed KT Wiz | 59c | 63.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 162 | 74.1%120 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed KT Wiz | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kia Tigers | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked KT Wiz | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KT Wiz | 24c | 46.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked KT Wiz | 32c | 44.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Kia Tigers | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KT Wiz | 35c | 37.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 36.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…2c98backed KT Wiz | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed KT Wiz | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Kia Tigers | 76c | 32.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Wiz | 34c | 30.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed KT Wiz | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed KT Wiz | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 26.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked KT Wiz | 58c | 25.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked KT Wiz | 51c | 25.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…f125backed KT Wiz | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045a…e4c7backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…ff03backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 22.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4c…6f00backed KT Wiz | 50c | 22.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 19.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.