Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dc2dc3fa5817cbb774fd36873255803ff4fe78dbaf2dde17ddeea2825c392ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 34c | 303.81$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 16c | 269.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 23c | 261.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 8c | 201.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 74c | 191.88$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 26c | 185.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 72c | 177.03$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…0b9abacked Yes | 28c | 174.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 15c | 158.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 70c | 158.62$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 27c | 133.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 23c | 125.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 11c | 122.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 25c | 116.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 25c | 116.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 28c | 95.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 76c | 88.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 22c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 26c | 80.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 23c | 78.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 24c | 73.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 32c | 68.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 68c | 65.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…85f2backed No | 78c | 64.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 71c | 64.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 20c | 61.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…ad52backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 23c | 58.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 68c | 55.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…50c3backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 25c | 47.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 67c | 46.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 31c | 46.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…52e2backed No | 67c | 44.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 69c | 43.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ee…0662backed Yes | 28c | 41.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 70c | 35.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…ad42backed No | 77c | 35.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…f91bbacked No | 66c | 30.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…80cdbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked No | 69c | 29.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 62c | 28.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 78c | 27.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbc…e05dbacked No | 71c | 26.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 68c | 25.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 59c | 24.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…8355backed No | 76c | 21.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 168 | 59.5%100 W · 68 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 69c | 20.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb5…3d4fbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 75c | 18.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.