Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc643a47f4fc6e465e3e8e66a2d20ae2237f28abaf7bad7ad807025340026f1f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed No | 58c | 1,877$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.79 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.5 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 63c | 447.62$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.37 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 42c | 362$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.96 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 43c | 320$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 44c | 305.01$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.85 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 43c | 300.1$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.7 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 43c | 243.86$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.01 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 43c | 229.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.78 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 49c | 220.15$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 43c | 219$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 63c | 202.4$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 55c | 194.05$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 57c | 190$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 12c | 187.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 22c | 185.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.06 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 43c | 154.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed Yes | 44c | 152.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 62c | 131.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 49c | 126.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 54c | 110.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 39c | 103.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…121ebacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 43c | 98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 55c | 97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 53c | 91.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 38c | 88.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 43c | 71.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 56c | 65.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 50c | 63.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…b02abacked Yes | 47c | 63.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 52c | 60.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…ad52backed Yes | 39c | 60.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 58c | 59.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 42c | 58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 55c | 55.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 61c | 55.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed Yes | 47c | 54.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 264 | 41.3%109 W · 155 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 53c | 52.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 24c | 48.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…ad42backed No | 58c | 48.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…44c4backed Yes | 45c | 47.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 54c | 46.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 54c | 46.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 43c | 45.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 44c | 45.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 67c | 44.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed Yes | 47c | 44.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…dc2ebacked Yes | 41c | 44.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 284 | 41.5%118 W · 166 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 34c | 44.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…4306backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7082backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…50c3backed No | 66c | 39.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 38c | 39.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 52c | 38.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed Yes | 32c | 38.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 47c | 36.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9a…8193backed No | 55c | 36.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 42c | 34.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 53c | 33.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 46c | 32.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb430…efc9backed Yes | 44c | 32.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6784…7565backed No | 55c | 31.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…206dbacked Yes | 71c | 30.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 63c | 30.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 42c | 25.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbc…e05dbacked No | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 65c | 22.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 78c | 22.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…7477backed No | 55c | 22.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -34.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…825dbacked No | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.