Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x819e794bad2cebf0309e1e13245b57d4b9ef5365ab2af97e0446f5cde8602c56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked Yes | 41c | 497.01$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.95 | 629 | 60.3%379 W · 250 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 410.67$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.68 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…db74backed Yes | 39c | 379.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.67 | 305 | 26.9%82 W · 223 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 54c | 370.04$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.09 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed Yes | 66c | 282.18$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.33 | 354 | 21.5%76 W · 278 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 66c | 268.76$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 8,337 | 49.2%4,098 W · 4,239 L | +271.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 48c | 251.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.96 | 6,905 | 53.1%3,666 W · 3,239 L | +422.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 19c | 241.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.41 | 1,936 | 38.1%737 W · 1,199 L | +296.8wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 40c | 235$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 1,488 | 57.3%853 W · 635 L | +46.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0208…9484backed Yes | 45c | 215.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 59c | 210.35$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 2,189 | 59.7%1,306 W · 883 L | +26.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…ded2backed Yes | 40c | 196.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked Yes | 26c | 191.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 25.9%59 W · 169 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 54c | 177.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed Yes | 41c | 176.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 251 | 58.6%147 W · 104 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6f…b34fbacked Yes | 39c | 162$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 61c | 156.55$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 358 | 64%229 W · 129 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 19c | 152.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 4,700 | 26.6%1,248 W · 3,452 L | +64.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…52dbbacked No | 64c | 151.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…1d7bbacked Yes | 76c | 148.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e12fbacked Yes | 37c | 139.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 42c | 136.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 2,176 | 53.1%1,156 W · 1,020 L | +36.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 39c | 133$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 637 | 33.4%213 W · 424 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 63c | 123.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,314 | 54%709 W · 605 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6b5dbacked Yes | 30c | 116.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed Yes | 42c | 107.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0d…0885backed Yes | 19c | 105.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed No | 58c | 105.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 65c | 104.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 10,044 | 44.8%4,500 W · 5,544 L | +257.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 22c | 103.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 221 | 60.6%134 W · 87 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 36c | 101.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 600 | 32%192 W · 408 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,268 | 58.4%740 W · 528 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 60c | 98.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 1,421 | 31.1%442 W · 979 L | -93.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 56c | 98.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 5,489 | 56%3,075 W · 2,414 L | -123.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed No | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 73c | 88.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 5,625 | 47.8%2,687 W · 2,938 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 52c | 85.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 169 | 58.6%99 W · 70 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 57c | 77.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 12,975 | 20.5%2,666 W · 10,309 L | -2,698.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…b668backed Yes | 26c | 74.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…10bfbacked Yes | 36c | 74.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 446 | 44.6%199 W · 247 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…f9e0backed Yes | 41c | 71.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 15c | 70.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 39c | 67.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 588 | 50.9%299 W · 289 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…24e0backed No | 61c | 63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 412 | 74.8%308 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 63c | 60.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 2,274 | 56.7%1,289 W · 985 L | +65.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 32c | 54.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 527 | 43.6%230 W · 297 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked No | 65c | 52.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…bbf5backed Yes | 22c | 52.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 3,126 | 61.8%1,931 W · 1,195 L | -30.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed No | 59c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe58b…d6f5backed Yes | 39c | 47.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 57c | 42.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 3,810 | 65.8%2,508 W · 1,302 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 35c | 41.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 36c | 41.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 786 | 27.1%213 W · 573 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…fc9bbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 39c | 36.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 1,858 | 42.7%793 W · 1,065 L | +50.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 62c | 35.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 2,216 | 56.8%1,258 W · 958 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 64c | 35.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2,286 | 57.3%1,309 W · 977 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 49c | 34.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 504 | 62.3%314 W · 190 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…c1d0backed Yes | 39c | 34.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 42c | 33.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 582 | 47.8%278 W · 304 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 5,193 | 68.3%3,546 W · 1,647 L | +70.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 269 | 60.2%162 W · 107 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 63c | 29.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 2,295 | 59.3%1,360 W · 935 L | +118.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…5c86backed No | 64c | 29.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 329 | 38.3%126 W · 203 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 53c | 28.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 493 | 63.5%313 W · 180 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…2fa1backed No | 58c | 28.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 38c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 5,836 | 60%3,502 W · 2,334 L | -112.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…af38backed No | 79c | 27.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…1486backed Yes | 44c | 27.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed No | 55c | 26.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 101 | 70.3%71 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea0…85b3backed No | 58c | 26.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 58c | 26.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 2,254 | 56.9%1,283 W · 971 L | +69.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked No | 63c | 24.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 247 | 56.3%139 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 59c | 23.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 2,283 | 58.3%1,331 W · 952 L | +85.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 64c | 23.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 2,467 | 35.7%880 W · 1,587 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 60c | 23.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 2,250 | 57%1,282 W · 968 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 60c | 20.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 2,233 | 56%1,250 W · 983 L | +47.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 986 | 51.1%504 W · 482 L | -49.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…1ca0backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…8633backed No | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…0236backed No | 76c | 14.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x414a…253ebacked No | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.