Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd02182544b9156854ccc23440582ac25b4eb3933d60a08f732224913bc647b3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 12c | 424.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1,936 | 38.1%737 W · 1,199 L | +296.8wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 47c | 391.42$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.82 | 623 | 23.8%148 W · 475 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6b5dbacked Yes | 59c | 317.8$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.86 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 50c | 316.62$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.52 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 1,156 | 31.1%359 W · 797 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 47c | 228.46$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.71 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 62c | 216.06$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 901 | 55.7%502 W · 399 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 48c | 209.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 2,189 | 59.7%1,306 W · 883 L | +26.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2028…cacdbacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 53c | 194.26$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 265 | 56.2%149 W · 116 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…6aa2backed No | 41c | 176.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | -11.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 55c | 171.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 2,176 | 53.1%1,156 W · 1,020 L | +36.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 45c | 168.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa387…3d3cbacked Yes | 66c | 161.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 44c | 156.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 346 | 67.6%234 W · 112 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…e5c8backed Yes | 7c | 150$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 78 | 9%7 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 10c | 149.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 516 | 3.5%18 W · 498 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 27c | 149.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 12,975 | 20.5%2,666 W · 10,309 L | -2,698.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed Yes | 55c | 136.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 53c | 134.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 2,340 | 58.7%1,373 W · 967 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 52c | 133$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 637 | 33.4%213 W · 424 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 68c | 132.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 5,625 | 47.8%2,687 W · 2,938 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 4,009 | 47.3%1,897 W · 2,112 L | +71.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…2162backed Yes | 53c | 113.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 49c | 109.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 43c | 109.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 37c | 108.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f3…c324backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d42…5bf3backed Yes | 53c | 97.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 52c | 94.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 256 | 53.9%138 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 86.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 5,489 | 56%3,075 W · 2,414 L | -123.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…1a13backed Yes | 53c | 85.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked No | 48c | 85.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 600 | 32%192 W · 408 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…c4febacked Yes | 37c | 82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked Yes | 72c | 80.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 795 | 63.5%505 W · 290 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 494 | 49.2%243 W · 251 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 48c | 79.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 7,592 | 37.5%2,849 W · 4,743 L | +96.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 62c | 79.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 52c | 68.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 414 | 43.2%179 W · 235 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 45c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 3,810 | 65.8%2,508 W · 1,302 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…24e0backed No | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 412 | 74.8%308 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb530…3c03backed Yes | 28c | 61.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 44c | 59.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 508 | 60.8%309 W · 199 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 53c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 220 | 70.9%156 W · 64 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…10bfbacked No | 48c | 51.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 446 | 44.6%199 W · 247 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…41ccbacked Yes | 69c | 51.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 282 | 51.1%144 W · 138 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 51c | 51.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc4…a136backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…73f7backed Yes | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 268 | 63.1%169 W · 99 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…db74backed No | 24c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 305 | 26.9%82 W · 223 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…3797backed Yes | 46c | 45.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 47 | 97.9%46 W · 1 L | +25.0wins | +0.53per pick | 45cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 89+0.35 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 52c | 41.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 588 | 50.9%299 W · 289 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 48c | 40.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1,421 | 31.1%442 W · 979 L | -93.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…72aabacked Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 4,148 | 56.7%2,351 W · 1,797 L | +51.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…32c8backed Yes | 72c | 39.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 31c | 36.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 2,201 | 56.8%1,250 W · 951 L | +69.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…b668backed Yes | 55c | 36.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 72c | 36.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 649 | 76.9%499 W · 150 L | +100.8wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 50c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 4,627 | 58.3%2,696 W · 1,931 L | -114.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 53c | 34.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 504 | 62.3%314 W · 190 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 45c | 33.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 2,254 | 56.9%1,283 W · 971 L | +69.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 47c | 32.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 2,216 | 56.8%1,258 W · 958 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31f…f04abacked Yes | 69c | 32.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 96 | 83.3%80 W · 16 L | +20.8wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 47c | 30.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 53c | 28.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 439 | 47.6%209 W · 230 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b8…e849backed No | 49c | 28.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 5,836 | 60%3,502 W · 2,334 L | -112.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 54c | 27.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 5,193 | 68.3%3,546 W · 1,647 L | +70.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…735cbacked Yes | 53c | 27.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 45c | 27.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2,254 | 58.2%1,311 W · 943 L | +84.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 57c | 26.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 814 | 57.5%468 W · 346 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…5839backed Yes | 57c | 25.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 46c | 25.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 2,223 | 56.1%1,247 W · 976 L | +54.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 493 | 63.5%313 W · 180 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…c1d0backed No | 49c | 24.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 46c | 23.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 9,962 | 45.9%4,572 W · 5,390 L | -309.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 671 | 38.9%261 W · 410 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda61…2b5fbacked No | 48c | 22.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 46c | 21.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 2,295 | 59.3%1,360 W · 935 L | +118.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c4…4d9fbacked Yes | 74c | 21.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,184 | 57.4%680 W · 504 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa434…cf75backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…276fbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.