TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$376,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$391,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,080 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed FURIA55c213,040$118,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,832.212950.4%65 W · 64 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed paiN45c124,627$56,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,082.1426256.1%147 W · 115 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked paiN44c35,000$15,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,40077052.7%406 W · 364 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked paiN44c30,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,199.995742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e74…5972backed paiN44c29,686$13,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,061.934740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA56c26,989$15,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,919.65,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4d…0bd2backed paiN44c25,873$11,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,375.42475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed FURIA56c25,770$14,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,338.6519554.9%107 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed FURIA55c25,643$14,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,539.138243.9%36 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked paiN44c20,000$8,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,85023245.7%106 W · 126 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed paiN44c18,197$7,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,957.8736054.4%196 W · 164 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x620b…2e9fbacked FURIA54c16,957$9,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,800.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked paiN46c12,000$5,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,52014645.2%66 W · 80 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked FURIA56c10,387$5,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,590.7350349.3%248 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed paiN45c7,728$3,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,477.7322941.9%96 W · 133 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed paiN44c5,233$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.941450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked paiN44c4,907$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.8932752.3%171 W · 156 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed FURIA56c4,888$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150.7238546.2%178 W · 207 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed paiN44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9972046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked FURIA56c2,974$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.4418267.6%123 W · 59 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed paiN44c2,603$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.4238839.4%153 W · 235 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed paiN44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed paiN44c2,150$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.9922541.8%94 W · 131 L-14.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb1…aebabacked FURIA55c2,088$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.39475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick27cpaid+321.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed paiN44c2,036$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.6217445.4%79 W · 95 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed paiN45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90055736.3%202 W · 355 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed FURIA56c2,000$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88518754.5%102 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f62…dd4dbacked paiN45c1,820$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked paiN44c1,818$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80053737.1%199 W · 338 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed FURIA55c1,811$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.412,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed FURIA55c1,745$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.454953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed paiN46c1,700$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.9978939.5%312 W · 477 L-3.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FURIA56c1,561$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.052,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked paiN44c1,416$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.0436240.3%146 W · 216 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed paiN45c1,200$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5347951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed paiN46c1,151$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.48760.9%53 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked paiN45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.951,14649.4%566 W · 580 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked paiN45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4951,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked paiN44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44010157.4%58 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked paiN44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44010538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed FURIA56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1fe…e21fbacked paiN45c909.3$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.1912748.8%62 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d35…b406backed FURIA56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3965135.3%18 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed FURIA56c898.36$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.285650%28 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed paiN45c888.89$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020161.7%124 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked FURIA56c876.67$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.4829854.7%163 W · 135 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked FURIA65c765.18$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.1824358%141 W · 102 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed FURIA56c740.74$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.9361055.9%341 W · 269 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3456…57ecbacked paiN45c732.28$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.87955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77f1…e320backed FURIA55c649.87$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.444461.4%27 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x333f…3cd6backed paiN46c636.74$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed paiN16c619.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0836845.1%166 W · 202 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked FURIA55c599.99$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.549245.9%226 W · 266 L-1.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked FURIA56c573.27$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.2465950.4%332 W · 327 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked FURIA56c540.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.297170.4%50 W · 21 L+9.7wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+22.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe36c…a856backed FURIA55c527.27$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.279238%35 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed FURIA56c508.93$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.937268.1%49 W · 23 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed paiN45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22519336.3%70 W · 123 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed FURIA56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22039454.3%214 W · 180 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c3e…5329backed FURIA55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2257853.8%42 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed FURIA55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5519847.5%94 W · 104 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed paiN45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20049251%251 W · 241 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5da…ed2ebacked FURIA72c442.85$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed paiN45c419.73$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.8838950.4%196 W · 193 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked paiN46c414.48$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.6614953.7%80 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed paiN45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed paiN45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d39…5408backed paiN44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1762356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed paiN45c399.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18057740.4%233 W · 344 L+1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed FURIA55c399.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.997262.5%45 W · 27 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed paiN46c369.57$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17016446.3%76 W · 88 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked FURIA55c369$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.0518350.8%93 W · 90 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ca…2443backed FURIA73c368.19$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.881850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+72.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed FURIA55c350$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.517454%94 W · 80 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked FURIA56c348.7$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4311147.7%53 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN28c328.49$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.987,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x253f…4253backed paiN46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508150.6%41 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6033…8a83backed paiN45c324.44$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14615632.7%51 W · 105 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed paiN46c323.91$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14924256.6%137 W · 105 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3105…2e7ebacked paiN46c315.22$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked paiN46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13877247.8%369 W · 403 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked FURIA56c299.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13241950.1%210 W · 209 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed paiN46c282.61$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1308543.5%37 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked paiN43c272.91$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.122,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c9…8bf1backed paiN46c271.65$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9613148.1%63 W · 68 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed FURIA55c223$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3513158.8%77 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed paiN45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006939.1%27 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3e7…6036backed paiN45c216.27$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.322657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed FURIA54c215$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.927353.1%145 W · 128 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked FURIA56c207.14$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1425645.7%117 W · 139 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac68…f1fcbacked paiN44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8816556.4%93 W · 72 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed FURIA55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905451.9%28 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed FURIA56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8830559.3%181 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked paiN45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9013442.5%57 W · 77 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked paiN45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908347%39 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…11c0backed FURIA55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5848…56a1backed FURIA54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ef…34cabacked paiN45c184.2$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8940%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x327a…3480backed FURIA56c179.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.189750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb27d…3cc3backed FURIA56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5716454.9%90 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.