TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$212,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,994 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99e4…e4c4backed paiN30c43,393$13,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,014.9422941.9%96 W · 133 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed FURIA70c17,460$12,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,237.9426256.1%147 W · 115 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed FURIA70c12,632$8,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,784.5136054.4%196 W · 164 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FURIA70c12,491$8,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,784.812,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed FURIA72c12,121$8,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,393.8921548.4%104 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed paiN32c10,759$3,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,428.764245.2%19 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed FURIA71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9003751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd63…050fbacked paiN29c9,360$2,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,717.763450%17 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74b7…8b0bbacked paiN15c8,027$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.962934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed paiN21c5,154$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.3872645.6%331 W · 395 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked paiN28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40076657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA68c4,095$2,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.632,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked FURIA70c3,586$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.914746.3%68 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5045…914abacked paiN28c2,900$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81211144.1%49 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x568b…4727backed paiN28c2,840$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8092962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed paiN13c2,641$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.871,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ae…46d7backed paiN28c2,175$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked FURIA79c2,034$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.953167.7%21 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed paiN24c2,018$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.861834.6%214 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed paiN9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed FURIA70c1,993$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.0521455.6%119 W · 95 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed FURIA68c1,729$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.7322554.2%122 W · 103 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89a6…429abacked paiN27c1,726$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.142055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed FURIA69c1,724$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.4418243.4%79 W · 103 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed paiN28c1,536$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43011241.1%46 W · 66 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed paiN15c1,532$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.8625553.3%136 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked paiN32c1,501$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.189749.5%48 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed FURIA70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45038557.1%220 W · 165 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ec2…82babacked paiN18c1,498$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.294537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc09b…d784backed FURIA73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.861957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7337…1fafbacked paiN10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019322.3%43 W · 150 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked FURIA70c967.4$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.3650349.3%248 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked FURIA68c891.71$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.3511063.6%70 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed paiN29c842.92$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.4525749%126 W · 131 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed paiN31c800$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24824349%119 W · 124 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2829…12a0backed FURIA68c797.57$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.221040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed paiN7c797.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9633348.9%163 W · 170 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked paiN14c794.35$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.481744.7%365 W · 452 L-2.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked FURIA69c737.33$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.571,52351.5%785 W · 738 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked FURIA72c717.78$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.5711155%61 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed paiN31c705$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.559450%47 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce82…03d3backed paiN28c700$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked FURIA72c673.39$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3546565.6%305 W · 160 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed paiN30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed paiN31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked paiN11c640.5$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.485,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked paiN32c640$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7553135%186 W · 345 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed paiN4c625$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510540%42 W · 63 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked FURIA68c621.18$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.7826155.2%144 W · 117 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ba…873bbacked FURIA68c602.94$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.941471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+45.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed FURIA68c600.82$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2559841.3%247 W · 351 L-20.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked paiN10c592.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3830622.9%70 W · 236 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed paiN32c581.25$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18614451.4%74 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FURIA70c574.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.051,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb849…bce6backed paiN4c564.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.738522.4%19 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked paiN7c562.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.644,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked FURIA68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16040349.1%198 W · 205 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed FURIA70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15018259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed FURIA79c500$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10643175.9%327 W · 104 L+24.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed FURIA71c464$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1346246.8%216 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed paiN15c460$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6943431.3%136 W · 298 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe09a…77fcbacked FURIA70c430.01$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+189%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed FURIA71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.541,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed paiN14c418.9$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.632,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed paiN15c401.51$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.146,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb185…98cdbacked paiN18c399.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-36.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x646a…cd90backed paiN7c366$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259552.6%50 W · 45 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed paiN30c363.33$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1091833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd205…1c8cbacked paiN28c337$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.36837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-41.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked paiN30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053737.1%199 W · 338 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed paiN31c318.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016446.3%76 W · 88 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf47d…2834backed paiN15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515145%68 W · 83 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed FURIA69c300$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.51,00748.5%488 W · 519 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae8…42c1backed FURIA71c270.42$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed FURIA79c264$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.62,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed paiN31c258.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016847%79 W · 89 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed paiN20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5056938.1%217 W · 352 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed FURIA72c241$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.931,11054.2%602 W · 508 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed paiN30c233.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706939.1%27 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked paiN8c225$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1825243.3%109 W · 143 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x44d9…ac79backed FURIA73c221.41$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.782853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed FURIA69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625451.9%28 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9f…345cbacked FURIA70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603060%18 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked paiN28c196.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512650.8%64 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa62b…58aabacked paiN21c194.95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4114648.6%71 W · 75 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x631a…a80fbacked FURIA79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.875633.9%19 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked FURIA71c175.86$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5124438.9%95 W · 149 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed FURIA74c172.97$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9714153.9%76 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked FURIA68c169$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0818350.8%93 W · 90 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4adf…d623backed FURIA71c167.28$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.516773.1%49 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked paiN32c162.57$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.029947.5%47 W · 52 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae06…be4dbacked FURIA74c161.05$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8714960.4%90 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…72d2backed paiN26c161.05$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8720454.4%111 W · 93 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb990…1a3abacked paiN10c160$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168812.5%11 W · 77 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed paiN32c154.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.353836.8%14 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0010…9ee3backed FURIA68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.068868.2%60 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90f0…2923backed paiN11c145.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167142.3%30 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed FURIA69c142.51$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1841960.9%255 W · 164 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed FURIA71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8532561.5%200 W · 125 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked paiN31c140$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.484937.8%321 W · 528 L-20.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.