TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$267,455
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$295,939

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,455 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa103…1c14backed paiN20c20,000$3,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,978.635048%24 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed paiN17c17,502$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,992.5522941.9%96 W · 133 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…eb43backed FURIA80c16,505$13,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,300.914465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed paiN19c11,614$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.6817861.2%109 W · 69 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed FURIA80c10,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0003751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2d8…f6b6backed paiN17c8,969$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.732941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+46%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked paiN20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00076657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked paiN20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021924.2%53 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed paiN18c4,685$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.562,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a79…eedabacked paiN20c4,554$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.71533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed paiN20c4,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80022045.5%100 W · 120 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed paiN16c3,840$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.4536845.1%166 W · 202 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cbc…96a6backed FURIA80c3,705$2,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.122766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed paiN1c3,399$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9217050.6%86 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33b2…30bcbacked FURIA79c3,183$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.1475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed paiN10c2,888$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.0372645.6%331 W · 395 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865c…4079backed paiN12c2,877$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.432842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked paiN19c2,735$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.654555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ae…69e9backed paiN23c2,551$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN18c2,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,42333.6%478 W · 945 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed paiN18c2,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45059841.3%247 W · 351 L-20.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed paiN20c2,364$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.8161834.6%214 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed paiN22c2,347$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.332,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked FURIA78c2,194$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.424962.2%155 W · 94 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed FURIA79c2,120$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.1245859%270 W · 188 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed paiN22c2,014$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.116737.7%63 W · 104 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed paiN18c2,004$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.7389546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed FURIA80c2,000$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4037349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee1…3e22backed paiN21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-57.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked FURIA79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42012744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd47c…39b5backed paiN25c1,982$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4995451.9%28 W · 26 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked FURIA77c1,870$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.11,52351.5%785 W · 738 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b0…180dbacked paiN5c1,480$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.021127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked FURIA80c1,399$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.25955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed FURIA77c1,276$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4822554.2%122 W · 103 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed paiN20c1,250$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509450%47 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed paiN21c1,143$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408543.5%37 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked paiN14c1,140$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6581744.7%365 W · 452 L-2.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed paiN19c1,104$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.766944.9%31 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc182…1339backed paiN19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009343%40 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked paiN24c1,030$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.214746.3%68 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked paiN19c1,021$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3225950.6%131 W · 128 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4858…3dd3backed paiN19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked paiN19c999.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19012351.2%63 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed paiN14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.83240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed paiN20c919.34$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6711538.3%44 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed paiN18c892.17$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5921455.6%119 W · 95 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed paiN15c831.46$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.671833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6033…8a83backed paiN24c816.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015632.7%51 W · 105 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked paiN23c766$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.189947.5%47 W · 52 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed FURIA73c694.64$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.5525749%126 W · 131 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FURIA76c667$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.491,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed paiN22c619.93$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3815950.9%81 W · 78 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed paiN20c572.2$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7410043%43 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed paiN20c563.32$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.663727%10 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked paiN23c553$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8653135%186 W · 345 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN18c548.1$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.322,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked paiN18c547.45$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2730622.9%70 W · 236 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa62b…58aabacked paiN4c538.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1314648.6%71 W · 75 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked paiN6c520.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.991,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed paiN21c520$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0246246.8%216 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed FURIA78c515$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.313855.1%76 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2829…12a0backed FURIA75c459.97$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.991040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…4289backed paiN18c450.91$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3615951.6%82 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253f…4253backed paiN21c449.62$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.428150.6%41 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e5…a830backed paiN11c443.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed paiN24c408.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016446.3%76 W · 88 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86ee…ef1fbacked FURIA77c398.81$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.73666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed paiN19c380$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.243431.3%136 W · 298 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed FURIA80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed paiN19c351.79$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.814141.8%59 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed paiN20c348$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.611030.9%34 W · 76 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FURIA78c337$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.685,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdae8…42c1backed paiN20c325$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9135…8d9cbacked paiN18c301$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.918638.4%33 W · 53 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked FURIA80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6061854.9%339 W · 279 L-18.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked paiN15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4584937.8%321 W · 528 L-20.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae06…be4dbacked FURIA80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6014960.4%90 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed FURIA80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6043175.9%327 W · 104 L+24.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked paiN18c296.24$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.154,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceae…8e45backed paiN21c293.43$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.622536%9 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed paiN24c291.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706939.1%27 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed FURIA80c290.41$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0811756.4%66 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2a2…1467backed paiN20c282.51$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-77.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed FURIA76c266.61$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9964748.4%313 W · 334 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked paiN17c253.92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1725243.3%109 W · 143 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd7c8…2313backed paiN21c250.1$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.522450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed FURIA80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5040248.8%196 W · 206 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked paiN18c247.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.381,63243.2%705 W · 927 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7337…1fafbacked paiN21c247.1$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8919322.3%43 W · 150 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf824…ebe3backed paiN15c241.34$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed paiN21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014040%56 W · 84 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda4c…1cc2backed paiN22c220.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.614440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked paiN25c213$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.862,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1679…e5e1backed FURIA79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf47d…2834backed paiN18c187.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8315145%68 W · 83 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked FURIA78c172.88$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3315368.6%105 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd3…b668backed paiN13c161.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked paiN18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2782646.2%382 W · 444 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16f0…aba5backed FURIA80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.518461.4%113 W · 71 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.