CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89e87cc33441715857aa1497e1c6052b842c74085518a7493e2585e554675715
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 64c | 6,763$4,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.81 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Over | 41c | 5,116$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.23 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 59c | 4,677$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.62 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa2…670ebacked Over | 40c | 3,797$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…46d7backed Under | 60c | 2,513$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Over | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Over | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.98 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Over | 36c | 1,855$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.02 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Over | 37c | 1,705$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.43 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Over | 38c | 1,669$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 278 | 51.4%143 W · 135 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 60c | 1,434$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.43 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…6afbbacked Over | 39c | 1,232$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.89 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 36c | 1,085$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.18 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 64c | 952.38$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.99 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Over | 37c | 947.21$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.81 | 577 | 40.4%233 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 39c | 687.8$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 37c | 674.48$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.65 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Under | 60c | 564$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 255 | 53.3%136 W · 119 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Under | 63c | 474.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.34 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Under | 60c | 474$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 64c | 366.06$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.06 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Under | 61c | 341.01$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 63c | 324.48$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.55 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 61c | 322.41$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 291.48$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Under | 61c | 192.31$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 65c | 190.39$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 66c | 171.61$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 25c | 149.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3793…8f46backed Over | 40c | 137.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Under | 61c | 122.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed Under | 60c | 113.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 397 | 45.8%182 W · 215 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 68c | 109.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…d609backed Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Under | 60c | 81.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Under | 80c | 78.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +7.4wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Over | 41c | 74.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 61c | 67.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 63c | 62.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6b2bbacked Under | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…80a3backed Under | 75c | 48.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 66cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Under | 64c | 47.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 240 | 65.4%157 W · 83 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 40c | 47.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Under | 60c | 47.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 60c | 46.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 170 | 68.2%116 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccc…cd3bbacked Over | 23c | 43.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 64c | 35.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…c546backed Under | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 61c | 33.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…1ac4backed Over | 35c | 28.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…3332backed Under | 65c | 28.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 67c | 28.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd6…352dbacked Over | 40c | 27.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked Under | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Under | 61c | 17.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 174 | 67.8%118 W · 56 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…b8c7backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group AFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs paiN (+6.5)FURIA won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.