Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Bastian Malla vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85f5342297768a103fdfafcceba7a76c78af63f0c6c9573eff81821a504ac4f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alvesof Bastian Malla, Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bastian Malla | 31c | 3,423$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.18 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 65c | 3,018$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.3 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 46c | 1,477$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.5 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 45c | 1,476$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.94 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 45c | 1,284$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.56 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Bastian Malla | 61c | 918.36$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.2 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 48c | 804.8$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.8 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…a47dbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 34c | 779.25$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.17 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…5c23backed Bastian Malla | 55c | 708.18$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.5 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bastian Malla | 50c | 690.3$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.99 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…7a97backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 31c | 683.58$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.67 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Bastian Malla | 52c | 663.04$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.69 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 46c | 510$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.4 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 39c | 400$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.1 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 52c | 387.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.56 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 45c | 354.83$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.9 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Bastian Malla | 57c | 353.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Bastian Malla | 31c | 318$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…503ebacked Bastian Malla | 59c | 313.2$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Bastian Malla | 59c | 254.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…acd4backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 65c | 230.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Bastian Malla | 55c | 203.64$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ae…2890backed Bastian Malla | 58c | 187.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Bastian Malla | 20c | 181.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 46c | 180.96$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 55c | 175.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Bastian Malla | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 39c | 155.79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Bastian Malla | 53c | 153.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 45c | 149.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bastian Malla | 17c | 146.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bastian Malla | 34c | 141$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Bastian Malla | 22c | 114.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Bastian Malla | 22c | 110.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Bastian Malla | 24c | 106.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed Bastian Malla | 23c | 104.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Bastian Malla | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Bastian Malla | 22c | 97.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 42c | 90.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Bastian Malla | 22c | 85.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Bastian Malla | 22c | 82.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bastian Malla | 55c | 76.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Bastian Malla | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Bastian Malla | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Bastian Malla | 32c | 69.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Bastian Malla | 54c | 65.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Bastian Malla | 24c | 63.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Bastian Malla | 24c | 63.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 44c | 59.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Bastian Malla | 30c | 56.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 309 | 31.1%96 W · 213 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bastian Malla | 59c | 51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bastian Malla | 58c | 46.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 49c | 45.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…ab1cbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 48c | 40.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bastian Malla | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Bastian Malla | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc197…c0bcbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 65c | 29.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.