TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Blue Jays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Tigers, Blue Jays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,452

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,132 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Blue Jays48c55,000$26,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,361.114747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers52c21,703$11,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,336.541,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Tigers52c20,492$10,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,836.227948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Tigers52c16,011$8,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,685.289749.5%48 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blue Jays48c16,000$7,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,68041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers52c15,568$8,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,537.221,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Blue Jays49c11,500$5,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60511746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays23c8,014$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.412,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Tigers52c4,490$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.9960249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays35c3,689$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.221,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e36…3dd4backed Tigers62c2,862$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.31475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Tigers51c2,384$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.3768656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Tigers56c2,291$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.9521941.1%90 W · 129 L-19.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Tigers76c1,976$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.8886751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked Tigers50c1,834$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.863450%17 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbcf…d6a9backed Tigers51c1,505$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.452864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb703…6f88backed Blue Jays49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7352030%6 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays48c1,300$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.122,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Blue Jays48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5767248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Tigers51c1,118$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.8220850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Tigers53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Tigers52c994.55$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.3833349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers53c950$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.551151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae09…fa6dbacked Tigers51c930.99$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.197549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Blue Jays48c898.04$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.0637446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays49c810.88$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Tigers52c730.77$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.776645.5%30 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers52c726.98$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.951,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a9…356abacked Tigers64c722$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.062015%3 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-65.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49df…96b7backed Tigers60c512.82$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Tigers66c500$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.941250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays16c475$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.71,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Tigers53c457.76$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8480955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Tigers50c436.54$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.841,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Tigers55c429.09$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.0999951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers79c360.06$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.752,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays38c320.07$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.329,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Blue Jays48c299.97$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.986543.1%28 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Tigers70c284.1$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0897950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a37…2c5fbacked Tigers76c257$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.69475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Tigers52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7723852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Tigers59c200$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8319849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9893240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Tigers77c195.01$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8510746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b5…c1cebacked Tigers69c175.65$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.629157.1%52 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Blue Jays33c163.24$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8710834.3%37 W · 71 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Blue Jays48c156.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759854.1%53 W · 45 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blue Jays41c143.45$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8163942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Tigers51c125$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2511456.1%64 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Tigers51c117.52$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.587841%32 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4010…9236backed Tigers61c114.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.753743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Tigers52c112$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7643250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a3…6ed8backed Tigers53c103.6$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.692937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Tigers53c101.08$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0179740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Blue Jays35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356524.6%16 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Tigers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5020448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4a4…932dbacked Blue Jays50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Tigers51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0413254.5%72 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e6f…0142backed Tigers52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1512549.6%62 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Blue Jays48c85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.961,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Tigers52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.420645.1%93 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Tigers51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.351955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a2…5d29backed Tigers51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fed…00d1backed Blue Jays50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Tigers67c58.48$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4139160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Blue Jays45c54.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.49448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ccd…c863backed Tigers52c52.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.391330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Tigers54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2365549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9049…4892backed Tigers52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Tigers53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.546753.7%251 W · 216 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x208a…96f4backed Blue Jays49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+44.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers52c49.23$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.632,05053.8%1,103 W · 947 L+33.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d2…6b85backed Tigers55c49.09$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…2ec3backed Blue Jays47c48.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Tigers52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0894455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x235a…2e57backed Blue Jays39c45.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9412548%60 W · 65 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6d…5c60backed Blue Jays48c45.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.881735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf391…73c3backed Blue Jays48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029552.2%154 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Tigers54c39.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3941649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6978…b028backed Blue Jays49c36.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.991872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Tigers55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3674356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7c…920ebacked Tigers55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3619053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa14…8905backed Blue Jays49c36.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+46%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81a8…b1bfbacked Blue Jays49c35.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.27147.1%1 W · 13 L-5.8wins-0.41per pick49cpaid-84.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1ef6…5245backed Tigers51c34.53$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.921154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc7…7707backed Blue Jays50c33.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.891861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd52…577bbacked Tigers52c32.87$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.781952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683f…6473backed Tigers52c31.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…cad9backed Blue Jays50c31.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.571952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7664…7867backed Tigers52c31.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.931145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb770…3a5abacked Blue Jays47c30.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.441850%9 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b1…0c27backed Blue Jays49c30.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.761855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa6…4da4backed Tigers53c30.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.111957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Tigers53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.111953.8%64 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19e0…c910backed Blue Jays49c28.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.171827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-48.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Tigers53c28.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4737552.5%197 W · 178 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Tigers60c28.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3652542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1013…d0cabacked Tigers53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.321872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+31.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.