Lol · resolved market

LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88d020b09c5214772fe937cf2ae19386956a658797bc045525b13fdd0fdb9f52

Rebuilt 37 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gamingof Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming, MVK Esports
Resolved: May 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $57,481
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $78,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,481 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4713…4d21backed MVK Esports	9c	7,889$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.11	3,159	33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L	-152.6wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed MVK Esports	17c	3,010$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.91	1,067	23.5%251 W · 816 L	-76.8wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MVK Esports	10c	2,926$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.24	2,330	39.4%919 W · 1,411 L	-83.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed MVK Esports	15c	1,673$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.68	2,237	33.3%745 W · 1,492 L	-71.3wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked MVK Esports	11c	1,534$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.02	1,091	47.4%517 W · 574 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	68c	1,300$883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.97	1,153	55.9%645 W · 508 L	+25.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed MVK Esports	38c	989.48$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376	1,827	45.6%834 W · 993 L	+26.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	59c	961.25$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.11	376	47.9%180 W · 196 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed MVK Esports	9c	943$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.59	1,931	35.9%693 W · 1,238 L	-98.4wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed MVK Esports	15c	918.45$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.26	780	43.1%336 W · 444 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0be3…35febacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	75c	909.91$678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.86	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	67cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked MVK Esports	22c	901.73$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.49	170	42.9%73 W · 97 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked MVK Esports	19c	815.82$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.2	2,707	35.9%972 W · 1,735 L	-152.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	62c	781.76$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.07	487	42.3%206 W · 281 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	59c	726.63$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.43	268	56%150 W · 118 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked MVK Esports	41c	687.59$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.91	108	55.6%60 W · 48 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked MVK Esports	2c	684$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.32	149	7.4%11 W · 138 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked MVK Esports	11c	540$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	668	45.5%304 W · 364 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MVK Esports	41c	524$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.6	3,584	40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L	+31.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed MVK Esports	13c	516.17$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.63	1,730	29.5%510 W · 1,220 L	-123.2wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MVK Esports	41c	502.59$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.98	2,367	31.9%756 W · 1,611 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked MVK Esports	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	242	38%92 W · 150 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed MVK Esports	7c	428$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.96	548	24.3%133 W · 415 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	59c	386$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.26	466	37.6%175 W · 291 L	-19.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked MVK Esports	20c	385.82$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.29	1,476	43.6%643 W · 833 L	-31.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed MVK Esports	12c	348$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.76	1,658	46.9%777 W · 881 L	-25.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed MVK Esports	22c	345.79$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.83	1,310	37.3%489 W · 821 L	-86.3wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac42…60d1backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	60c	327$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.8	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	-7.8wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed MVK Esports	4c	323.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.06	828	36.4%301 W · 527 L	-41.3wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	59c	309.56$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.92	1,097	52.3%574 W · 523 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	60c	278.2$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.28	104	52.9%55 W · 49 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed MVK Esports	10c	275$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-6.8wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked MVK Esports	17c	261.56$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.35	330	42.4%140 W · 190 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed MVK Esports	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	62	1.6%1 W · 61 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked MVK Esports	39c	247.05$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	282	53.5%151 W · 131 L	+11.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked MVK Esports	30c	241.63$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.49	230	47%108 W · 122 L	-15.1wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed MVK Esports	19c	240.91$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.96	1,079	26%281 W · 798 L	-99.0wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x546a…36fdbacked MVK Esports	41c	232.85$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.93	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed MVK Esports	42c	231.65$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	116	67.2%78 W · 38 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed MVK Esports	15c	226.13$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.02	306	43.1%132 W · 174 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked MVK Esports	41c	218.12$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.51	909	37.3%339 W · 570 L	-20.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked MVK Esports	15c	207$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	422	50%211 W · 211 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed MVK Esports	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	430	40.9%176 W · 254 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	62c	200$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	636	46.9%298 W · 338 L	-19.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	58c	153.22$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.35	1,265	42.8%541 W · 724 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked MVK Esports	41c	131.58$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.46	924	50.9%470 W · 454 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked MVK Esports	41c	120.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	340	40.6%138 W · 202 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked MVK Esports	61c	107.55$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.39	1,356	51.1%693 W · 663 L	-21.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked MVK Esports	41c	107.34$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.19	225	45.8%103 W · 122 L	+13.0wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked MVK Esports	19c	106.63$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.78	348	34.2%119 W · 229 L	-39.9wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3f1e…4123backed MVK Esports	61c	105.7$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.48	98	51%50 W · 48 L	-9.2wins	-0.09per pick	60cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed MVK Esports	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	165	49.7%82 W · 83 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked MVK Esports	55c	90.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.85	572	44.6%255 W · 317 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed MVK Esports	49c	90$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.4	751	50.7%381 W · 370 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…ad11backed MVK Esports	48c	84.55$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.32	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked MVK Esports	39c	63.24$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.37	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed MVK Esports	39c	55.23$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	316	43%136 W · 180 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8480…8b20backed MVK Esports	56c	53.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	28	71.4%20 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	70cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed MVK Esports	24c	46.12$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.95	124	43.5%54 W · 70 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed MVK Esports	39c	41.03$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	861	44.1%380 W · 481 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed MVK Esports	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,831	17.1%313 W · 1,518 L	-236.0wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-46%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc290…ab32backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	59c	38.48$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.67	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabfc…173ebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	60c	35$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.93	104	53.8%56 W · 48 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed MVK Esports	41c	34.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	1,643	44.4%730 W · 913 L	-42.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	59c	34.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.36	1,852	39.8%738 W · 1,114 L	-64.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	659	54.5%359 W · 300 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c40…f17abacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6dd…52dbbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	61c	32.79$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.79	163	23.3%38 W · 125 L	-11.4wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	60c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18d…9c5bbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	50c	23.36$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.6	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x202b…e209backed MVK Esports	61c	21.47$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc32…cf8bbacked MVK Esports	59c	20.9$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.37	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	48cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78ff…6b68backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	64c	15.64$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	118	60.2%71 W · 47 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffsthis page
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs MVK Esports - Game 1 WinnerFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming won
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs MVK Esports - Game 2 WinnerFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event