MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88f2601f7f69d734187931631b7a6585138ac67c2aaf9e037cc8d1452318a3aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Chicago White Sox, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 12,078$5,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,434.79 | 4,401 | 47.5%2,090 W · 2,311 L | -76.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 66c | 10,779$7,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,711.93 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 8,351$4,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.62 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 31c | 6,634$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.09 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 4,828$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.16 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 1,676$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.98 | 509 | 53.8%274 W · 235 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 1,111$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.18 | 877 | 53%465 W · 412 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 793$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.02 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 744.45$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.02 | 8,451 | 47.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L | +81.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 651.29$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Chicago White Sox | 29c | 544.16$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals | 62c | 497.14$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.91 | 1,924 | 53.4%1,028 W · 896 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 357$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.26 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 341$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.17 | 2,319 | 51.1%1,184 W · 1,135 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago White Sox | 26c | 338.11$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 3,465 | 51.2%1,774 W · 1,691 L | +105.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Kansas City Royals | 62c | 314$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.32 | 750 | 50.8%381 W · 369 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Chicago White Sox | 21c | 256$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 2,191 | 40%876 W · 1,315 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Chicago White Sox | 46c | 104.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 1,150 | 31.7%365 W · 785 L | -95.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 90.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 88.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 5,172 | 54.6%2,824 W · 2,348 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 82.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Chicago White Sox | 16c | 73.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,960 | 41.4%812 W · 1,148 L | -25.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 68.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Chicago White Sox | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Kansas City Royals | 78c | 63.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 52.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Kansas City Royals | 66c | 51.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 768 | 58.1%446 W · 322 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Chicago White Sox | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 49.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kansas City Royals | 67c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 5,848 | 43.7%2,556 W · 3,292 L | -189.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +147.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,839 | 53.9%992 W · 847 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago White Sox | 27c | 39.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2,150 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,071 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Kansas City Royals | 71c | 36.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 20.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1,494 | 63.4%947 W · 547 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White SoxKansas City Royals won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 13.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 14.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.