NFL · resolved market
Raiders vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8abe25bd661e0c22c57c64be6c7dfb86ca9f35ba7c9cd48b828b4b03d45ea057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Raiders, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd56c…3bbcbacked Raiders | 69c | 13,334$9,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,253.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 58cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Raiders | 70c | 13,193$9,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,231.65 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Panthers | 31c | 12,042$3,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,355.89 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Panthers | 30c | 8,358$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,831.1 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Panthers | 30c | 7,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250.33 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Raiders | 68c | 3,678$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.34 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Panthers | 33c | 3,164$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.78 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed Raiders | 68c | 3,125$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Raiders | 3c | 2,830$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Raiders | 65c | 2,613$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.29 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799b…362dbacked Raiders | 19c | 2,072$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818d…282cbacked Raiders | 70c | 1,940$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.69 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +155.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Raiders | 69c | 1,793$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.02 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Raiders | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Panthers | 60c | 1,454$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.24 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Panthers | 29c | 1,422$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.51 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Panthers | 35c | 1,300$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Raiders | 47c | 1,209$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.37 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Panthers | 48c | 1,170$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.07 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Raiders | 68c | 970.42$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.89 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Panthers | 69c | 820.46$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.52 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…172ebacked Panthers | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…53a1backed Raiders | 71c | 589.96$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.87 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Raiders | 69c | 579.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.18 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Panthers | 59c | 569.12$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.34 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Panthers | 60c | 566.17$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.47 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked Panthers | 58c | 518.74$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.87 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Panthers | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Panthers | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Panthers | 62c | 469.68$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.48 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Panthers | 31c | 443.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.36 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Panthers | 31c | 420$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Panthers | 31c | 400$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…2284backed Raiders | 70c | 398.63$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…fb64backed Panthers | 64c | 376.82$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.55 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…704cbacked Raiders | 69c | 360$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0545…4e37backed Raiders | 70c | 360$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Panthers | 31c | 355.35$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.19 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Raiders | 56c | 348.27$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.53 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Panthers | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Raiders | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Panthers | 53c | 299.67$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.2 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Raiders | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Raiders | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Raiders | 69c | 277$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.13 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…28a0backed Raiders | 69c | 267.94$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed Raiders | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…2c98backed Panthers | 30c | 237.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…c344backed Raiders | 70c | 218.16$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Raiders | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab2…6435backed Raiders | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Raiders | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1347…d256backed Panthers | 31c | 198.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.66 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Panthers | 58c | 190.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…b2f4backed Panthers | 45c | 185.51$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…dfd0backed Panthers | 52c | 156.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Raiders | 70c | 154.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Raiders | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Raiders | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…ad89backed Raiders | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbc…2565backed Raiders | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Raiders | 60c | 140.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Raiders | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Raiders | 48c | 139.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…0fc9backed Raiders | 60c | 133.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaae…031bbacked Raiders | 69c | 120$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…2e53backed Raiders | 52c | 114.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…5679backed Panthers | 63c | 105.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Raiders | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Raiders | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27f…91d6backed Raiders | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Raiders | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Raiders | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Raiders | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…e0fdbacked Raiders | 69c | 79.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Panthers | 32c | 79.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee9…353abacked Raiders | 32c | 77.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Panthers | 31c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf168…5725backed Raiders | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…ba78backed Raiders | 71c | 70.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Panthers | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…7708backed Raiders | 61c | 65.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…a49ebacked Panthers | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…aa6ebacked Panthers | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…7f5abacked Panthers | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Raiders | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…83dbbacked Panthers | 32c | 56.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…2b90backed Raiders | 70c | 55.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9b…40b8backed Raiders | 49c | 53.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Raiders | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 138 | 66.7%92 W · 46 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Panthers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4181backed Panthers | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…c29abacked Raiders | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…8eaabacked Panthers | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…a9bdbacked Panthers | 55c | 48.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…c9cbbacked Raiders | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Raiders | 45c | 44.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…a540backed Raiders | 69c | 43.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Raiders | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…c676backed Raiders | 69c | 40.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.