Tennis · resolved market
ITF Horb: Margaux Rouvroy vs Lea Nilsson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c7211a571917281e6a6c4f35db253baf4fc099c5a1df1cc270944cd00f1f672
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lea Nilssonof Margaux Rouvroy, Lea Nilsson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Lea Nilsson | 56c | 10,550$5,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,628.43 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lea Nilsson | 57c | 3,888$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.67 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Margaux Rouvroy | 45c | 2,489$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.1 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Margaux Rouvroy | 43c | 2,290$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.18 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Margaux Rouvroy | 40c | 1,962$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.85 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Margaux Rouvroy | 18c | 1,362$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.87 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Margaux Rouvroy | 42c | 1,170$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.27 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Margaux Rouvroy | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Margaux Rouvroy | 43c | 1,101$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.25 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Margaux Rouvroy | 43c | 910.13$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.06 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Margaux Rouvroy | 42c | 652.29$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.02 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Margaux Rouvroy | 42c | 612.59$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.13 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Margaux Rouvroy | 46c | 599.98$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.23 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Margaux Rouvroy | 42c | 426.01$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.48 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Margaux Rouvroy | 44c | 389.78$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.39 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Margaux Rouvroy | 44c | 331.86$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.85 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Lea Nilsson | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Margaux Rouvroy | 43c | 255.09$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Margaux Rouvroy | 44c | 245.53$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Lea Nilsson | 72c | 211.1$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Lea Nilsson | 56c | 199.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Margaux Rouvroy | 44c | 164.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Margaux Rouvroy | 44c | 152.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb76…df01backed Lea Nilsson | 56c | 127$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Margaux Rouvroy | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Margaux Rouvroy | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Margaux Rouvroy | 14c | 94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Lea Nilsson | 58c | 93.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Margaux Rouvroy | 49c | 91.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfa…79a0backed Lea Nilsson | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…37f9backed Lea Nilsson | 57c | 83.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Margaux Rouvroy | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Margaux Rouvroy | 43c | 76.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Margaux Rouvroy | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Margaux Rouvroy | 41c | 59.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Lea Nilsson | 55c | 57.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 220 | 50.9%112 W · 108 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Margaux Rouvroy | 43c | 50.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Margaux Rouvroy | 43c | 49.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9575…cd83backed Margaux Rouvroy | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 220 | 46.8%103 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Margaux Rouvroy | 43c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 237 | 59.1%140 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Margaux Rouvroy | 42c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Margaux Rouvroy | 44c | 31.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Margaux Rouvroy | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Margaux Rouvroy | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Lea Nilsson | 58c | 27.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Margaux Rouvroy | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee4…8804backed Lea Nilsson | 57c | 20.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e79…22e3backed Lea Nilsson | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 117 | 56.4%66 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19f…8d44backed Lea Nilsson | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Lea Nilsson | 58c | 18.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.