MLB · resolved market
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90a629664077917cddd5037f7b3ff316a9c53b39f85b4e371ce65ceb73a0e6de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 47,519$22,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,360.43 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…da70backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 46,222$19,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,402.09 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 14,800$6,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,858.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 10,294$6,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.57 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 3,606$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.37 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 3,450$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 2,943$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.41 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 2,116$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.09 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 1,652$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.83 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 1,226$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.18 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 1,035$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.1 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 869.2$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.14 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 825$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.25 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Detroit Tigers | 15c | 562.14$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 546.12$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.97 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 377$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.66 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 343.1$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 270.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.32 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 208.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 172.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 126.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 112$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 81.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Detroit Tigers | 31c | 73.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaa…0585backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 64.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x840b…345fbacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67a…b7e6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…b993backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 42.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 37.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 36.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 34.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0d…57dabacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 24.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…b490backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 21.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit TigersTampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.