La Liga · resolved market
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91262afde6680441722b5d7b3b7f8928d5d7beb8eec4f5bc020e22dc5bbbb68e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 41c | 2,772$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.23 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 3c | 2,307$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 55c | 1,064$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.22 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 19c | 822.52$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 34c | 618$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.24 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 526.46$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.33 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc2…9343backed Yes | 42c | 475.28$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 8c | 437.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed No | 46c | 389.26$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 46c | 371.83$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.23 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 48c | 327.86$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 309.48$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.18 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 21c | 280.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b4…470dbacked No | 8c | 217.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +186.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 49c | 209.56$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.19 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 35c | 207.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.81 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…aeddbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 57c | 197.14$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 191.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.66 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 49c | 181.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 70c | 181$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 65c | 160$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 150.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 58c | 147.61$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 52c | 147.3$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 39c | 127.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 41c | 125.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…dc59backed No | 25c | 113.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 102.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 41c | 102.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 31c | 86.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 42c | 84.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 54c | 79.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 38c | 76.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 57c | 70.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 16c | 66.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 58c | 65.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 43c | 59.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 54.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 60c | 52.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed No | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 48c | 41.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 39c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 61c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 42c | 33.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 68 | 79.4%54 W · 14 L | +14.7wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 42c | 32.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 34c | 30.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 69c | 29.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 59c | 25.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 59c | 25.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…7b4cbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burgos CF win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Burgos CF vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.