MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91ab3cf76f7826434ed93f11f45af31b07cac53754f6b4e936d0e8701cf9798d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Blue Jays, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Guardians | 54c | 169,313$91,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,106.01 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Blue Jays | 46c | 111,111$51,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,111.06 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 22,570$10,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,382.39 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Blue Jays | 47c | 21,010$9,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,874.54 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…7920backed Guardians | 49c | 9,995$4,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,097.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da9…9a22backed Blue Jays | 51c | 9,995$5,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,097.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays | 47c | 6,728$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.81 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 38c | 6,525$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Guardians | 60c | 4,807$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.43 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Guardians | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 53c | 3,647$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.69 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 3,600$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Jays | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 53c | 2,525$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.05 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Blue Jays | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 2,065$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.32 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Blue Jays | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Guardians | 51c | 1,917$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.55 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…de56backed Blue Jays | 54c | 1,775$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Guardians | 51c | 1,591$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.78 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays | 45c | 1,450$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.5 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Guardians | 51c | 1,421$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.18 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Guardians | 65c | 1,352$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.61 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Blue Jays | 35c | 1,196$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.9 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 1,127$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.56 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 1,113$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…4f92backed Guardians | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Guardians | 50c | 994.48$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.24 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…5421backed Blue Jays | 28c | 954.04$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Guardians | 65c | 917.68$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.68 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Guardians | 50c | 857.3$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.44 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Blue Jays | 39c | 851.59$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.01 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…1f64backed Guardians | 53c | 851$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…b626backed Blue Jays | 47c | 851$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 35c | 841.56$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.04 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Blue Jays | 48c | 838.92$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Blue Jays | 39c | 734.79$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.57 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 21c | 611$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.86 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 565.89$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Blue Jays | 32c | 500$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Guardians | 53c | 467.21$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.59 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…9b88backed Blue Jays | 49c | 466.43$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Blue Jays | 50c | 458.33$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Blue Jays | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Guardians | 62c | 405.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.96 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Guardians | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…5607backed Guardians | 58c | 356.64$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Guardians | 53c | 330$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 31c | 318.09$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Guardians | 64c | 315.81$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.69 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785a…bdb6backed Blue Jays | 36c | 315.81$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bc…e5b7backed Blue Jays | 51c | 311.22$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed Blue Jays | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Blue Jays | 35c | 286.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 275.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Blue Jays | 48c | 245.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Blue Jays | 49c | 241.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Guardians | 46c | 215.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.18 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Guardians | 51c | 200.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 200.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Guardians | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 199.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Guardians | 57c | 198$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Guardians | 50c | 196.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…7951backed Guardians | 62c | 194.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 40c | 192.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Guardians | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Blue Jays | 44c | 183.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…3e6abacked Blue Jays | 52c | 165$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Blue Jays | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Blue Jays | 55c | 154.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1cd9backed Guardians | 54c | 153.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Guardians | 56c | 149.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Blue Jays | 40c | 148.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Blue Jays | 44c | 135.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Guardians | 53c | 128.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Guardians | 53c | 124.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 123.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 122.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 66c | 110.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Blue Jays | 47c | 107.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Blue Jays | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Blue Jays | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blue Jays | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Blue Jays | 33c | 97.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Blue Jays | 47c | 94.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Guardians | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 48c | 92.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Guardians | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Blue Jays | 54c | 92.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Blue Jays | 46c | 87.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Guardians | 55c | 86.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.