Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Buffalo Bulls vs. Massachusetts Minutemen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96493402d9629bbc65778e0eb2c59571215c4e51fbdac0fb5bf072974a46c9d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buffalo Bullsof Buffalo Bulls, Massachusetts Minutemen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 73c | 4,519$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.07 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Buffalo Bulls | 53c | 2,659$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.03 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Buffalo Bulls | 27c | 2,553$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.54 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 69c | 2,442$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.62 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 2,020$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.32 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Buffalo Bulls | 27c | 1,732$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.62 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Buffalo Bulls | 19c | 1,371$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.02 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 73c | 1,229$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.13 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Buffalo Bulls | 27c | 1,197$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.69 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Buffalo Bulls | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.85 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 74c | 1,022$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.28 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 58c | 846.49$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.97 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Buffalo Bulls | 80c | 765.18$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.67 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Buffalo Bulls | 15c | 699.1$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.98 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 27c | 600$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 42c | 545.55$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.57 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Buffalo Bulls | 64c | 520.88$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.42 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 73c | 519.43$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.6 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 66c | 506.39$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.57 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Buffalo Bulls | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.53 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Buffalo Bulls | 26c | 478.05$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Buffalo Bulls | 25c | 437.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.48 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350b…41e8backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 71c | 425.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 75c | 341.47$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.1 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Buffalo Bulls | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Buffalo Bulls | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Buffalo Bulls | 25c | 267.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Buffalo Bulls | 52c | 234.08$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 75c | 228.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.74 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 215$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 75c | 200.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Buffalo Bulls | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Buffalo Bulls | 48c | 193.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 186.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…32c9backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 77c | 182.6$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Buffalo Bulls | 76c | 162$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Buffalo Bulls | 16c | 135.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.13 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 73c | 135.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 76c | 129$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Buffalo Bulls | 26c | 113.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 64c | 92.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Buffalo Bulls | 76c | 90.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Buffalo Bulls | 31c | 85.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 73c | 66.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Buffalo Bulls | 25c | 60.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Buffalo Bulls | 26c | 57.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 62c | 56.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Buffalo Bulls | 61c | 54.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Buffalo Bulls | 62c | 48.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Buffalo Bulls | 28c | 46.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Buffalo Bulls | 45c | 44.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Buffalo Bulls | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 23.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 75c | 22.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 73c | 21.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 73c | 13.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Buffalo Bulls vs. Massachusetts Minutementhis page
- Buffalo Bulls vs. Massachusetts Minutemen: O/U 155.5Over won
- Buffalo Bulls vs. Massachusetts Minutemen: O/U 156.5Over won
- Buffalo Bulls vs. Massachusetts Minutemen: O/U 157.5Over won
- Spread: Massachusetts Minutemen (-7.5)Buffalo Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.