CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98bfa8ac05ca0231abb7e30aced572300791e11c2df8e86bafd0e36c7f1c79d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Under | 69c | 2,505$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.55 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 31c | 2,451$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.74 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Over | 33c | 1,836$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 114 | 71.1%81 W · 33 L | +18.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 68c | 1,188$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.16 | 1,598 | 51.6%824 W · 774 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Over | 32c | 1,070$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.02 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee46…faa0backed Under | 70c | 931.4$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 67c | 385.92$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.61 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…a4d3backed Under | 59c | 378.04$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.72 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 68c | 292.27$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 871 | 45.9%400 W · 471 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 32c | 261$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 2,071 | 54%1,119 W · 952 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 33c | 245.16$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.19 | 1,685 | 32.7%551 W · 1,134 L | -48.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Under | 67c | 242.18$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 58c | 238.24$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…ef5abacked Under | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 77c | 217.39$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.39 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Over | 72c | 196.72$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.07 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Over | 64c | 170.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 410 | 69%283 W · 127 L | +32.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 33c | 158.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +19.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed Over | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 110.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595f…9224backed Over | 60c | 110.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 29c | 69.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 850 | 51.8%440 W · 410 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 75c | 58.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Over | 70c | 57.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 446 | 72%321 W · 125 L | +26.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc644…07bbbacked Over | 32c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3793…8f46backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f7…9769backed Over | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 30c | 48.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 370 | 41.9%155 W · 215 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…db88backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed Over | 60c | 43.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Over | 59c | 42.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 29c | 39.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 781 | 48.3%377 W · 404 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 37c | 38.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2,445 | 45.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L | -66.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…7aa8backed Over | 32c | 36.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Over | 69c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 197 | 67.5%133 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 40c | 29.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 2,829 | 37.7%1,066 W · 1,763 L | -138.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 68c | 27.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 564 | 48.2%272 W · 292 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Over | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 80.8%164 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…8989backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 79cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Over | 66c | 23.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 628 | 54%339 W · 289 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 52c | 22.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…e838backed Under | 70c | 21.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Under | 68c | 19.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…007abacked Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…c00fbacked Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5)Inner Circle Esports won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5)Inner Circle Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+6.5)Inner Circle Esports won
- Map Handicap: ICE (-1.5) vs Vitality (+1.5)Inner Circle Esports won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)Inner Circle Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.