CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ad7c95e9a69c8a4f76a90e9720cbef0c83f5574b1d5a15e6c8f3b290f98558a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Esportsof Vitality, Inner Circle Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa4d…0bd2backed Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 18,119$6,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,446.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Vitality | 63c | 9,466$5,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,963.65 | 258 | 40.3%104 W · 154 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…5402backed Vitality | 63c | 6,974$4,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,422.24 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Inner Circle Esports | 38c | 5,819$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.16 | 403 | 46.7%188 W · 215 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f62…dd4dbacked Vitality | 62c | 4,874$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.79 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.97 | 804 | 39.7%319 W · 485 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…2e9fbacked Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 3,110$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.09 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Inner Circle Esports | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.97 | 1,101 | 51%561 W · 540 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Vitality | 62c | 2,899$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.37 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Inner Circle Esports | 35c | 2,812$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.68 | 712 | 51.7%368 W · 344 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 2,349$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.62 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vitality | 62c | 1,980$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.77 | 871 | 45.9%400 W · 471 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee46…faa0backed Vitality | 65c | 1,938$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 38c | 1,833$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.71 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…eb43backed Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 1,794$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.99 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vitality | 21c | 1,782$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.61 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Vitality | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Vitality | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Inner Circle Esports | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.95 | 114 | 71.1%81 W · 33 L | +18.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Vitality | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.99 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe453…256ebacked Vitality | 63c | 1,476$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed Vitality | 64c | 1,409$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Vitality | 63c | 1,400$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 371 | 40.2%149 W · 222 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Inner Circle Esports | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868 | 5,954 | 37.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L | +77.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Vitality | 62c | 1,395$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.89 | 391 | 39.1%153 W · 238 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Inner Circle Esports | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…3cd6backed Vitality | 63c | 1,072$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Vitality | 63c | 1,004$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.23 | 469 | 65.7%308 W · 161 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…8fffbacked Vitality | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Vitality | 61c | 840.89$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 193 | 49.7%96 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Vitality | 62c | 809.61$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.96 | 558 | 43.2%241 W · 317 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 799.98$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.99 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Vitality | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked Inner Circle Esports | 38c | 786.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.15 | 212 | 56.1%119 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…7d38backed Vitality | 63c | 764.4$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.57 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 743.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.71 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Vitality | 63c | 666.91$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.03 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Inner Circle Esports | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Vitality | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 209 | 60.8%127 W · 82 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded1…eedfbacked Vitality | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…b49fbacked Vitality | 63c | 613.43$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.46 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b25…c200backed Vitality | 65c | 505.15$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Vitality | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 416 | 49.3%205 W · 211 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Vitality | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189f…f4f3backed Inner Circle Esports | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Vitality | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 578 | 47.4%274 W · 304 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Inner Circle Esports | 36c | 498.95$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 1,756 | 47.3%830 W · 926 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 429.33$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.48 | 2,697 | 52.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L | +30.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…e320backed Vitality | 63c | 398.41$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed Inner Circle Esports | 38c | 385.53$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.03 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Vitality | 63c | 358.73$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 326.35$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.6 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…d609backed Vitality | 63c | 320$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -6.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8286…6aa5backed Inner Circle Esports | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Inner Circle Esports | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 785 | 47.3%371 W · 414 L | -26.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1,051 | 49%515 W · 536 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d25…0f79backed Vitality | 64c | 296.88$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a856backed Vitality | 63c | 279.37$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Vitality | 54c | 278.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Vitality | 61c | 271.15$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.4 | 367 | 44.4%163 W · 204 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Vitality | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -23.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Vitality | 63c | 243.92$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.3 | 534 | 49.6%265 W · 269 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 228.39$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.89 | 2,071 | 54%1,119 W · 952 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Inner Circle Esports | 38c | 213.16$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.16 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +19.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Vitality | 67c | 201$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.23 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Vitality | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 314 | 58.6%184 W · 130 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…af42backed Vitality | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…27cfbacked Vitality | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Vitality | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…ef5abacked Vitality | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Vitality | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 50.4%260 W · 256 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Vitality | 63c | 155.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 673 | 62.3%419 W · 254 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 155.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.83 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Vitality | 63c | 154.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 504 | 45.8%231 W · 273 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Vitality | 63c | 152.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 149.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 120 | 59.2%71 W · 49 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 149.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.49 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc13b…701ebacked Vitality | 65c | 139.58$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d56fbacked Vitality | 58c | 138$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Inner Circle Esports | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Vitality | 63c | 130$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Inner Circle Esports | 52c | 117.18$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…1c86backed Vitality | 61c | 100.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Vitality | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 167 | 49.7%83 W · 84 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Vitality | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 431 | 50.3%217 W · 214 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…2aeebacked Vitality | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed Vitality | 51c | 98.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 409 | 46%188 W · 221 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Inner Circle Esports | 38c | 97.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 2,445 | 45.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L | -66.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…6116backed Inner Circle Esports | 38c | 94.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685b…cca8backed Vitality | 63c | 93.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…343fbacked Vitality | 38c | 93.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +23.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…7574backed Inner Circle Esports | 55c | 88.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Vitality | 63c | 88.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 367 | 63.2%232 W · 135 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Vitality | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 581 | 49.9%290 W · 291 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…9ff4backed Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Vitality | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5)Inner Circle Esports won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5)Inner Circle Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+6.5)Inner Circle Esports won
- Map Handicap: ICE (-1.5) vs Vitality (+1.5)Inner Circle Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.