Tennis · resolved market
Estoril Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Pablo Carreno Busta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x996d09eab8a4c2444b1fab3aedb87268d8bebe1336f710a21eb4b7186ebba598
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pablo Carreno Bustaof Vilius Gaubas, Pablo Carreno Busta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Vilius Gaubas | 1c | 17,300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.89 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Vilius Gaubas | 12c | 15,333$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Vilius Gaubas | 29c | 10,133$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.67 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 68c | 10,000$6,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.38 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Vilius Gaubas | 28c | 8,681$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.74 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vilius Gaubas | 11c | 8,089$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.03 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 71c | 6,976$4,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.93 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Vilius Gaubas | 30c | 5,000$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.07 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Vilius Gaubas | 30c | 4,894$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.02 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 71c | 4,831$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.99 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 71c | 4,347$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.07 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vilius Gaubas | 11c | 4,214$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.51 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vilius Gaubas | 7c | 4,171$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.51 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Vilius Gaubas | 32c | 4,012$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.16 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 71c | 3,408$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.35 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 75c | 3,406$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.36 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0210…4debbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Vilius Gaubas | 25c | 2,167$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +40%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Vilius Gaubas | 13c | 2,162$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.41 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 69c | 2,003$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.83 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Vilius Gaubas | 18c | 1,677$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 71c | 1,451$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.49 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Vilius Gaubas | 31c | 1,269$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.31 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…ff91backed Vilius Gaubas | 8c | 1,193$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 71c | 1,172$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.19 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Vilius Gaubas | 15c | 989.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Vilius Gaubas | 3c | 924.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Vilius Gaubas | 11c | 751.3$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 71c | 681$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.49 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Vilius Gaubas | 8c | 678.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 68c | 661.76$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.76 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Vilius Gaubas | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 78c | 637.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.96 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Vilius Gaubas | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Vilius Gaubas | 30c | 542.31$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.69 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Vilius Gaubas | 30c | 500.3$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Vilius Gaubas | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9860…c343backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Vilius Gaubas | 30c | 489.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.93 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Vilius Gaubas | 30c | 489.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.93 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vilius Gaubas | 10c | 487.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Vilius Gaubas | 32c | 469.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Vilius Gaubas | 32c | 438$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Vilius Gaubas | 32c | 414.02$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…f9bbbacked Vilius Gaubas | 12c | 408.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Vilius Gaubas | 23c | 391.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x560b…a72dbacked Vilius Gaubas | 4c | 324.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Vilius Gaubas | 29c | 320.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 70c | 320$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 70c | 320$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Vilius Gaubas | 9c | 295.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 299 | 48.5%145 W · 154 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 70c | 288.43$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Vilius Gaubas | 31c | 287.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.12 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Vilius Gaubas | 11c | 269.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Vilius Gaubas | 30c | 254.23$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Vilius Gaubas | 11c | 242$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Vilius Gaubas | 11c | 199.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Vilius Gaubas | 31c | 193.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 79c | 178.77$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 68c | 177.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Vilius Gaubas | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Vilius Gaubas | 31c | 159.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Vilius Gaubas | 30c | 157.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Vilius Gaubas | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 66c | 152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Vilius Gaubas | 30c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Vilius Gaubas | 29c | 137$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fcf2backed Vilius Gaubas | 11c | 132.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 71c | 126.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Vilius Gaubas | 10c | 121.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Vilius Gaubas | 12c | 119.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Vilius Gaubas | 32c | 111$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Vilius Gaubas | 29c | 104.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Vilius Gaubas | 18c | 103.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb30…8e71backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 69c | 102.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…51d2backed Vilius Gaubas | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Vilius Gaubas | 33c | 99.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…058fbacked Vilius Gaubas | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e32…1ca3backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 69c | 92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 69c | 78.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 69c | 78.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 68c | 77.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 148 | 70.3%104 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Vilius Gaubas | 29c | 73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Vilius Gaubas | 30c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d9…fc33backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 69c | 69.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 72c | 69.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Vilius Gaubas | 31c | 67.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Vilius Gaubas | 34c | 67.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Vilius Gaubas | 32c | 66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 185 | 41.1%76 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Vilius Gaubas | 29c | 63.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed Vilius Gaubas | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Vilius Gaubas | 30c | 62.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 410 | 45.1%185 W · 225 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 70c | 58.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estoril Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Pablo Carreno Bustathis page
- Set Handicap: Busta (-1.5) vs Gaubas (+1.5)Busta won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.