MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99e3df91b918ea2d7a5c810df825971f9f277fb97264d6e69e653d8dae679374
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf980…6528backed Rockies | 38c | 26,015$10,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,003.4 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers | 59c | 14,424$8,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,961.76 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers | 60c | 12,540$7,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,978.37 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 56c | 12,420$6,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,494.37 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ba…d879backed Rockies | 48c | 10,497$5,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,045.92 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Tigers | 70c | 9,904$6,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.54 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Rockies | 50c | 9,531$4,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,803.7 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Tigers | 58c | 7,946$4,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.22 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Tigers | 58c | 6,978$4,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.69 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Tigers | 54c | 2,366$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.4 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockies | 37c | 2,300$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.75 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers | 61c | 2,219$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.23 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rockies | 38c | 2,199$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.65 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rockies | 39c | 2,067$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.12 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Tigers | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 64c | 1,454$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.56 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tigers | 61c | 1,268$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.01 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 59c | 988.2$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Tigers | 61c | 727.06$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.55 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Tigers | 42c | 717.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.05 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rockies | 25c | 709.2$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.14 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Tigers | 62c | 676$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.16 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers | 64c | 633.54$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.62 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Tigers | 52c | 618.33$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.88 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Tigers | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rockies | 52c | 451.47$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.28 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Tigers | 62c | 350.56$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.07 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Rockies | 5c | 305$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Tigers | 64c | 264$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…dcafbacked Rockies | 40c | 231.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Tigers | 66c | 209.69$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Tigers | 41c | 174.89$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.88 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Tigers | 62c | 169$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Tigers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Tigers | 63c | 155.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Rockies | 46c | 149.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…1e46backed Tigers | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Tigers | 36c | 121$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Tigers | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Tigers | 60c | 114$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Tigers | 50c | 109.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 41c | 103.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Tigers | 72c | 97.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed Tigers | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tigers | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Tigers | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Tigers | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Tigers | 62c | 64.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Tigers | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers | 63c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Rockies | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Tigers | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Tigers | 62c | 32.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Tigers | 59c | 28.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Tigers | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.