Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Colorado State Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a17dc617d758087ad8fc4dbd3d154dd205600ab19eb791f4790e9c14a487f54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado State Ramsof Fresno State Bulldogs, Colorado State Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 26c | 2,772$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.48 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 28c | 2,291$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.49 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado State Rams | 61c | 1,463$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.92 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 42c | 1,290$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.09 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Colorado State Rams | 72c | 1,096$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.82 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Colorado State Rams | 79c | 1,092$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.81 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 21c | 984$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.64 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Colorado State Rams | 76c | 784.57$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 43c | 688.85$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.42 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado State Rams | 72c | 605.7$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.59 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Colorado State Rams | 79c | 560.71$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.75 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Colorado State Rams | 60c | 505.54$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.43 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 21c | 499.4$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 21c | 498.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Colorado State Rams | 52c | 386.29$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.42 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Colorado State Rams | 72c | 383.26$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 35c | 343.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Colorado State Rams | 57c | 337.35$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Colorado State Rams | 79c | 317.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Colorado State Rams | 54c | 274.54$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Colorado State Rams | 78c | 271.63$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Colorado State Rams | 79c | 258.11$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d5…c092backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 43c | 256.12$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…4fc5backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 21c | 231.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 26c | 204.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 23c | 199.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…9b86backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 64c | 154.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Colorado State Rams | 78c | 137.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…8a9dbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 37c | 134.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…6c3fbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 50c | 130.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 22c | 125.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Colorado State Rams | 63c | 120.2$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 49c | 119.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 22c | 118.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado State Rams | 66c | 117.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 36c | 110.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff75…b615backed Colorado State Rams | 49c | 108.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…b335backed Colorado State Rams | 52c | 99.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 48c | 94.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 35c | 87.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Colorado State Rams | 78c | 86.73$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 21c | 86.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Colorado State Rams | 29c | 82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Colorado State Rams | 49c | 76.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Colorado State Rams | 78c | 63.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Colorado State Rams | 79c | 62.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 30c | 62.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f5…869fbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 28c | 59.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Colorado State Rams | 78c | 49.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 22c | 47.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Colorado State Rams | 54c | 46.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 22c | 45.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Colorado State Rams | 74c | 40.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colorado State Rams | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…f81bbacked Colorado State Rams | 62c | 31.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado State Rams | 64c | 29.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Colorado State Rams | 72c | 26.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 45c | 26.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe715…8b42backed Colorado State Rams | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Colorado State Rams | 78c | 19.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Colorado State Rams | 79c | 19.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…fe0abacked Colorado State Rams | 78c | 19.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 77cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Colorado State Rams | 74c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…8debbacked Colorado State Rams | 80c | 16.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Colorado State Rams | 79c | 16.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Colorado State Rams | 70c | 14.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Colorado State Rams | 70c | 14.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Colorado State Ramsthis page
- Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 146.5Under won
- Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado State Rams (-8.5)Fresno State Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.